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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

SAN ANTONIO / SANTA ROSA / EL ORO — Parish board

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · SAN ANTONIO / SANTA ROSA / EL ORO / EL ORO · other · Parish boardEC-J-7-355-3330

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SAN ANTONIO / SANTA ROSA / EL ORO / EL ORO
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-1a41b868425a34f284db4944
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO SUR UNIDO REGIONAL, S.U.R.27.3%
  • UNO PUEDE27.0%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO22.6%
  • JUNTOS SEGUIREMOS HACIENDO HISTORIA 5-7718.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ4.4%
Results for event-982b8860cdf21055359334a2
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO SUR UNIDO REGIONAL, S.U.R.147ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202323327.3%2Recorded
UNO PUEDE1316ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202323127%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO32ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202319322.6%1Recorded
JUNTOS SEGUIREMOS HACIENDO HISTORIA 5-771250ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202315918.6%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ157ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023384.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO AUTONÓMICO REGIONAL, MAR24.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO SOMOS IGUALDAD, IMPULSO E INTEGRACIÓN SIII18.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO SUR UNIDO REGIONAL16.4%
  • UNIDAD POPULAR9.3%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO8.5%
  • PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA8.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO SEPUEDE SP7.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES4.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA2.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICIO ACCIÓN SANTARROSEÑA1.3%
Results for event-22b66906dd626a16da522a78
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO AUTONÓMICO REGIONAL, MAR4ecuador/Sed7b513864/201986924.4%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SOMOS IGUALDAD, IMPULSO E INTEGRACIÓN SIII197ecuador/Sed7b513864/201964218%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUR UNIDO REGIONAL147ecuador/Sed7b513864/201958316.4%1Recorded
UNIDAD POPULAR143ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193309.3%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO1ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193048.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA25ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192938.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SEPUEDE SP222ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192507%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES22ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191634.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA13ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019822.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICIO ACCIÓN SANTARROSEÑA234ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019461.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • ALIANZA PAIS-MAR33.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO SANTARROSEÑO UNIDO REVOLUCIONARIO24.7%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO20.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO17.8%
  • PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO3.2%
Results for event-ed4b09f32b47c202a8fee540
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA PAIS-MAR7007ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201472633.4%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SANTARROSEÑO UNIDO REVOLUCIONARIO7002ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201453724.7%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201445420.9%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201438717.8%1Recorded
PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO1ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014703.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-111,136
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 355,
  "cne_parish": 3330,
  "cne_province": 7,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electorate_difference": 0,
  "electors_august": 1136,
  "electors_july": 1136,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-J-7-355-3330",
  "name": "SAN ANTONIO / SANTA ROSA / EL ORO",
  "office": "Parish board",
  "precinct_rows": [
    961,
    1091
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 31,
  "register_pdf_row": 16,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION",
  "spending_limit_usd": 4000
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “SAN ANTONIO / SANTA ROSA / EL ORO — Parish board.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-J-7-355-3330. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL, ecuador--SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER.