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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

PANZALEO / SALCEDO / COTOPAXI — Parish board

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · PANZALEO / SALCEDO / COTOPAXI / COTOPAXI · other · Parish boardEC-J-5-110-2760

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
PANZALEO / SALCEDO / COTOPAXI / COTOPAXI
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-bc4c317fb3bbe4e35a010196
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMA36.4%
  • SALCEDENSES POR UNA RENOVACIÓN INTEGRAL20.7%
  • UNIDAD SALCEDENSE19.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK16.3%
  • FUERZA SALCEDENSE5.3%
  • UNIDAD Y DESARROLLO1.8%
Results for event-40023f9c54f917b8fa8b46be
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMA42ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202374836.4%2Recorded
SALCEDENSES POR UNA RENOVACIÓN INTEGRAL1427ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202342520.7%1Recorded
UNIDAD SALCEDENSE1268ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202340419.6%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202333516.3%1Recorded
FUERZA SALCEDENSE1373ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231085.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDAD Y DESARROLLO1353ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023361.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO VISION SALCEDENSE23.9%
  • ALIANZA EL TRABAJO CONTINUA18.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO ACTIVO SALCEDENSE, M.A.S.17.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK15.6%
  • CENTRO DEMOCRATICO11.2%
  • ALIANZA UNIDAD PARA EL CAMBIO10.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO ORGANIZACION PROGRESISTA CIUDADANA, OPCION2.7%
Results for event-3e968231ae1309f17f2902a3
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO VISION SALCEDENSE186ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,74723.9%2Recorded
ALIANZA EL TRABAJO CONTINUA738ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,38018.9%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ACTIVO SALCEDENSE, M.A.S.84ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,24717%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK12ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,14015.6%1Recorded
CENTRO DEMOCRATICO145ecuador/Sed7b513864/201981811.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA UNIDAD PARA EL CAMBIO771ecuador/Sed7b513864/201978610.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO ORGANIZACION PROGRESISTA CIUDADANA, OPCION74ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191992.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS26.6%
  • UNIDAD SALCEDENSE PACHAKUTIK LISTAS 18 - A.T.I. LISTA 10126.5%
  • ALIANZA CANTONAL SALCEDO AVANZA 8 -SEA 10318.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO ACTIVO SALCEDENSE12.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO SUMA9.1%
  • PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO6.4%
Results for event-5bbed2988550ab5a0462a3a9
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,73726.6%2Recorded
UNIDAD SALCEDENSE PACHAKUTIK LISTAS 18 - A.T.I. LISTA 1015006ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,72826.5%2Recorded
ALIANZA CANTONAL SALCEDO AVANZA 8 -SEA 1035007ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,22318.7%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ACTIVO SALCEDENSE5002ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201483012.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUMA13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20145939.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144206.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-112,863
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 110,
  "cne_parish": 2760,
  "cne_province": 5,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electorate_difference": 0,
  "electors_august": 2863,
  "electors_july": 2863,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-J-5-110-2760",
  "name": "PANZALEO / SALCEDO / COTOPAXI",
  "office": "Parish board",
  "precinct_rows": [
    640,
    641
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 30,
  "register_pdf_row": 16,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION",
  "spending_limit_usd": 4000
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “PANZALEO / SALCEDO / COTOPAXI — Parish board.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-J-5-110-2760. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL, ecuador--SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER.