Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

TANICUCHI / LATACUNGA / COTOPAXI — Parish board

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · TANICUCHI / LATACUNGA / COTOPAXI / COTOPAXI · other · Parish boardEC-J-5-100-3965

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
TANICUCHI / LATACUNGA / COTOPAXI / COTOPAXI
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-75e3fea83b7638e973700789
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMA20.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK19.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA18.3%
  • RETO ES LA OPCION13.2%
  • FUERZA RURAL INTERCULTURAL11.0%
  • UNIDOS POR LA PRODUCTIVIDAD Y LA VIDA10.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO7.7%
Results for event-62f4bad348f6e46f599e8b19
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMA42ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,60620.1%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,55119.4%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,46218.3%1Recorded
RETO ES LA OPCION1014ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,05513.2%1Recorded
FUERZA RURAL INTERCULTURAL1384ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202387811%1Recorded
UNIDOS POR LA PRODUCTIVIDAD Y LA VIDA1073ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202381710.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO124ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20236137.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • LATACUNGA ALIANZA DEL TRIUNFO16.7%
  • ALIANZA UNIDAD PARA EL CAMBIO15.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA12.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO FE S FUERZA, ESPERANZA, SERVICIO9.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS9.4%
  • ALIANZA AVANZA 8 - PSC 68.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP8.2%
  • ALIANZA UNIDAD CIUDADANA COTOPAXENSE7.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES5.6%
  • CENTRO DEMOCRATICO4.8%
  • ALIANZA LATACUNGA MERECE MAS2.8%
Results for event-b26762dcb834eecab0bbb394
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
LATACUNGA ALIANZA DEL TRIUNFO512ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195,11816.7%1Recorded
ALIANZA UNIDAD PARA EL CAMBIO771ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,65915.2%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA37ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,66012%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO FE S FUERZA, ESPERANZA, SERVICIO255ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,9119.5%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS142ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,8819.4%1Recorded
ALIANZA AVANZA 8 - PSC 6506ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,5898.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP235ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,4958.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA UNIDAD CIUDADANA COTOPAXENSE730ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,2097.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES22ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,7075.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CENTRO DEMOCRATICO145ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,4814.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA LATACUNGA MERECE MAS628ecuador/Sed7b513864/20198492.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS25.1%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA23.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO14.4%
  • PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO12.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK11.3%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO8.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO SUMA5.1%
Results for event-1a6e2633807615fdfc24f5ba
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20147,24525.1%2Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20146,70323.2%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144,15214.4%1Recorded
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,47912%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK5ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,27711.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,5678.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUMA13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,4835.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1111,797
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 100,
  "cne_parish": 3965,
  "cne_province": 5,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electorate_difference": 0,
  "electors_august": 11797,
  "electors_july": 11797,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-J-5-100-3965",
  "name": "TANICUCHI / LATACUNGA / COTOPAXI",
  "office": "Parish board",
  "precinct_rows": [
    689,
    690,
    691
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 29,
  "register_pdf_row": 45,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION",
  "spending_limit_usd": 7078.2
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “TANICUCHI / LATACUNGA / COTOPAXI — Parish board.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-J-5-100-3965. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL, ecuador--SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER.