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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

GUAYTACAMA / LATACUNGA / COTOPAXI — Parish board

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · GUAYTACAMA / LATACUNGA / COTOPAXI / COTOPAXI · other · Parish boardEC-J-5-100-1485

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
GUAYTACAMA / LATACUNGA / COTOPAXI / COTOPAXI
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-4f833b891b0a979dde7fb40c
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK51.6%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMA16.9%
  • UNIDOS POR LA PRODUCTIVIDAD Y LA VIDA10.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA10.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO7.0%
  • RETO ES LA OPCION3.3%
Results for event-484a9bf25f1b512aafc88729
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,13551.6%2Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMA42ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,02716.9%1Recorded
UNIDOS POR LA PRODUCTIVIDAD Y LA VIDA1073ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202366110.9%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202363010.4%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO124ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20234287%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
RETO ES LA OPCION1014ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231993.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA17.4%
  • ALIANZA AVANZA 8 - PSC 616.2%
  • LATACUNGA ALIANZA DEL TRIUNFO14.3%
  • ALIANZA UNIDAD CIUDADANA COTOPAXENSE12.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES10.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS10.2%
  • ALIANZA UNIDAD PARA EL CAMBIO7.9%
  • CENTRO DEMOCRATICO6.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO FE S FUERZA, ESPERANZA, SERVICIO5.1%
Results for event-33611668870cf8fed28b63f0
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA37ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,05817.4%1Recorded
ALIANZA AVANZA 8 - PSC 6506ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,77416.2%1Recorded
LATACUNGA ALIANZA DEL TRIUNFO512ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,34314.3%1Recorded
ALIANZA UNIDAD CIUDADANA COTOPAXENSE730ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,93212.6%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES22ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,38610.2%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS142ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,36910.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA UNIDAD PARA EL CAMBIO771ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,8507.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CENTRO DEMOCRATICO145ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,4206.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO FE S FUERZA, ESPERANZA, SERVICIO255ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,1895.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS33.4%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA19.9%
  • UNIDAD DE LA IZQUIERDA - COTOPAXI MPD LISTA 15 - PACHAKUTIK LISTA 1818.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO16.5%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO12.1%
Results for event-8860e5387143562f2745eeec
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20146,47333.4%2Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,86019.9%1Recorded
UNIDAD DE LA IZQUIERDA - COTOPAXI MPD LISTA 15 - PACHAKUTIK LISTA 185005ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,49318%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,19616.5%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,35012.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-118,391
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 100,
  "cne_parish": 1485,
  "cne_province": 5,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electorate_difference": 0,
  "electors_august": 8391,
  "electors_july": 8391,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-J-5-100-1485",
  "name": "GUAYTACAMA / LATACUNGA / COTOPAXI",
  "office": "Parish board",
  "precinct_rows": [
    574
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 29,
  "register_pdf_row": 40,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION",
  "spending_limit_usd": 5034.6
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “GUAYTACAMA / LATACUNGA / COTOPAXI — Parish board.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-J-5-100-1485. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL, ecuador--SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER.