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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

LA LIBERTAD / ESPEJO / CARCHI — Parish board

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · LA LIBERTAD / ESPEJO / CARCHI / CARCHI · other · Parish boardEC-J-4-15-2040

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
LA LIBERTAD / ESPEJO / CARCHI / CARCHI
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-b4d136aed56ffc66c95fab58
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES24.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO SOCIAL CONSERVADOR DEL CARCHI LISTA63 - PARTIDO AVANZA LISTA 821.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK17.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO RENOVACIÓN TOTAL, RETO16.4%
  • IZQUIERDA DEMOCRATICA MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO IGUALDAD DEMOCRACIA7.2%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO6.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA6.2%
Results for event-3e1327957aadf08dc768ee67
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES99ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202367324.8%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SOCIAL CONSERVADOR DEL CARCHI LISTA63 - PARTIDO AVANZA LISTA 81113ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202357121.1%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202348517.9%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO RENOVACIÓN TOTAL, RETO226ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202344316.4%1Recorded
IZQUIERDA DEMOCRATICA MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO IGUALDAD DEMOCRACIA1110ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231957.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO39ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231756.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231676.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES33.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO LIDERA-CARCHI20.0%
  • ALIANZA MSC CONSERVADORES LISTA 63 -PSC LISTA 617.0%
  • ALIANZA IZQUIERDA DEMOCRATICA-AVANZA LISTAS 12-814.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS8.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA7.4%
Results for event-27ff4eac241ed4b12ccc5730
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES22ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,51733.3%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO LIDERA-CARCHI116ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,10920%1Recorded
ALIANZA MSC CONSERVADORES LISTA 63 -PSC LISTA 6567ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,79017%1Recorded
ALIANZA IZQUIERDA DEMOCRATICA-AVANZA LISTAS 12-8544ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,48714.1%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS142ecuador/Sed7b513864/20198688.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA13ecuador/Sed7b513864/20197847.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • ALIANZA MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS-MOVIMIENTO LIDERA CARCHI37.3%
  • ALIANZA MOVIMIENTO INTEGRACION DEMOCRATICA DEL CARCHI, LISTAS 65 Y PARTIDO POLITICO AVANZA, LISTAS 833.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO UNIDO29.3%
Results for event-97e3591c4c82fadde040bdf1
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS-MOVIMIENTO LIDERA CARCHI4013ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,00137.3%2Recorded
ALIANZA MOVIMIENTO INTEGRACION DEMOCRATICA DEL CARCHI, LISTAS 65 Y PARTIDO POLITICO AVANZA, LISTAS 84012ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,68733.4%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO UNIDO4009ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,35429.3%1Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-113,438
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 15,
  "cne_parish": 2040,
  "cne_province": 4,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electorate_difference": 0,
  "electors_august": 3438,
  "electors_july": 3438,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-J-4-15-2040",
  "name": "LA LIBERTAD / ESPEJO / CARCHI",
  "office": "Parish board",
  "precinct_rows": [
    553
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 28,
  "register_pdf_row": 14,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION",
  "spending_limit_usd": 4000
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “LA LIBERTAD / ESPEJO / CARCHI — Parish board.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-J-4-15-2040. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL, ecuador--SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER.