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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

JAVIER LOYOLA / CHUQUIPATA / AZOGUES / CAÑAR — Parish board

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · JAVIER LOYOLA / CHUQUIPATA / AZOGUES / CAÑAR / CAÑAR · other · Parish boardEC-J-3-235-1825

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The 10 July spending resolution lists 5,525 electors; the 11 August distribution lists 5,522. Both are retained.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
JAVIER LOYOLA / CHUQUIPATA / AZOGUES / CAÑAR / CAÑAR
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-ddd51a0f2d00fb5ca41e207f
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • CAÑAR EMPRENDE 5-1731.0%
  • PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR19.5%
  • UNIDOS POR AZOGUES15.7%
  • UNIDOS POR LA DEMOCRACIA12.6%
  • CAÑAR RENACE CONTIGO11.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK9.6%
Results for event-7dfc49e80e17bec91a72c6bd
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
CAÑAR EMPRENDE 5-171306ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,07631%1Recorded
PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202367619.5%1Recorded
UNIDOS POR AZOGUES1164ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202354415.7%1Recorded
UNIDOS POR LA DEMOCRACIA1311ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202343712.6%1Recorded
CAÑAR RENACE CONTIGO1190ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202340711.7%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233329.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES43.6%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO25.2%
  • AZOGUES EMPRENDE16.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK9.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO INCLUYENTE ORGANIZADO MIO5.6%
Results for event-bae2ea5eb1fdfdf8e04116cb
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES22ecuador/Sed7b513864/20196,57443.6%3Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO1ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,79725.2%1Recorded
AZOGUES EMPRENDE623ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,47516.4%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK12ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,3849.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO INCLUYENTE ORGANIZADO MIO200ecuador/Sed7b513864/20198455.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS32.5%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA20.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO15.1%
  • PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO13.0%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO9.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO SUMA9.3%
Results for event-942a4751e6dbde5f7be079ea
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144,43232.5%2Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,82620.7%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,06415.1%1Recorded
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,78113%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,2799.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUMA13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,2739.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The 10 July spending resolution lists 5,525 electors; the 11 August distribution lists 5,522. Both are retained.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-115,522
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 235,
  "cne_parish": 1825,
  "cne_province": 3,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electorate_difference": -3,
  "electors_august": 5522,
  "electors_july": 5525,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-J-3-235-1825",
  "name": "JAVIER LOYOLA / CHUQUIPATA / AZOGUES / CAÑAR",
  "office": "Parish board",
  "precinct_rows": [
    378,
    379,
    380,
    437
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 27,
  "register_pdf_row": 29,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION",
  "spending_limit_usd": 4000
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The 10 July spending resolution lists 5,525 electors; the 11 August distribution lists 5,522. Both are retained. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “JAVIER LOYOLA / CHUQUIPATA / AZOGUES / CAÑAR — Parish board.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-J-3-235-1825. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL, ecuador--SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER.