Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

EL DORADO / FCO.DE ORELLANA / ORELLANA — Parish board

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · EL DORADO / FCO.DE ORELLANA / ORELLANA / ORELLANA · other · Parish boardEC-J-22-645-1560

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
EL DORADO / FCO.DE ORELLANA / ORELLANA / ORELLANA
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-b950d4cb0ec74bc302c9bdbe
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA41.7%
  • ALIANZA GESTIÓN Y DESARROLLO20.7%
  • ALIANZA DE LA RENOVACION19.6%
  • UNIDAD ORELLANENSE12.3%
  • ALIANZA UNIDAD AMAZÓNICA5.7%
Results for event-26252407eba93ce5107f5134
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202393241.7%2Recorded
ALIANZA GESTIÓN Y DESARROLLO1030ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202346220.7%1Recorded
ALIANZA DE LA RENOVACION1025ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202343919.6%1Recorded
UNIDAD ORELLANENSE1003ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202327612.3%1Recorded
ALIANZA UNIDAD AMAZÓNICA1069ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231275.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • ALIANZA MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK LISTA 18 MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO LISTA 4 PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO LISTA 637.6%
  • ALIANZA AVANZAMOS JUNTOS24.7%
  • ALIANZA VAMOS POR EL CAMBIO17.9%
  • ALIANZA ORELLANA16.6%
  • IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA3.3%
Results for event-48305d774faa809b484fdf04
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK LISTA 18 MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO LISTA 4 PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO LISTA 6582ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,14637.6%2Recorded
ALIANZA AVANZAMOS JUNTOS574ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,40824.7%1Recorded
ALIANZA VAMOS POR EL CAMBIO586ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,02217.9%1Recorded
ALIANZA ORELLANA502ecuador/Sed7b513864/201994916.6%1Recorded
IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA152ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191863.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS28.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK25.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO DEL PUEBLO24.8%
  • DESPIERTA ORELLANA14.2%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"7.1%
Results for event-029a5d374643a8b086c51e5f
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,23228.7%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK5ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,08625.3%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DEL PUEBLO22003ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,06324.8%1Recorded
DESPIERTA ORELLANA22005ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201461014.2%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"4ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143037.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-113,477
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 645,
  "cne_parish": 1560,
  "cne_province": 22,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electorate_difference": 0,
  "electors_august": 3477,
  "electors_july": 3477,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-J-22-645-1560",
  "name": "EL DORADO / FCO.DE ORELLANA / ORELLANA",
  "office": "Parish board",
  "precinct_rows": [
    4144
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 39,
  "register_pdf_row": 35,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION",
  "spending_limit_usd": 5200
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “EL DORADO / FCO.DE ORELLANA / ORELLANA — Parish board.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-J-22-645-1560. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL, ecuador--SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER.