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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

SUCRE / PATATE / TUNGURAHUA — Parish board

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · SUCRE / PATATE / TUNGURAHUA / TUNGURAHUA · other · Parish boardEC-J-18-155-3885

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SUCRE / PATATE / TUNGURAHUA / TUNGURAHUA
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-93c7c7c93219e480317d8b2e
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • OPORTUNIDADES19.2%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA18.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK15.9%
  • INTEGRACION CIVICA TUNGURAHUA15.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO SOLIDARIAMENTE14.3%
  • PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA9.3%
  • PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR6.7%
Results for event-75f91c57684530c296cd5c76
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
OPORTUNIDADES1175ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202330319.2%1Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA101ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202329718.8%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202325015.9%1Recorded
INTEGRACION CIVICA TUNGURAHUA1416ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202324815.7%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO SOLIDARIAMENTE160ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202322514.3%1Recorded
PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231479.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231066.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MAS PROYECTO CIUDADANO15.3%
  • FUERZA SOCIAL Y SOLIDARIA12.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO TU, TUNGURAHUA UNIDO11.7%
  • CREO POR AMBATO Y TUNGURAHUA11.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK11.2%
  • PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA9.4%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO8.9%
  • UNIDOS PODEMOS8.4%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO8.1%
  • PSC-TIEMPO DE CAMBIO2.8%
Results for event-298fb7f0a5329ff1597dd270
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MAS PROYECTO CIUDADANO561ecuador/Sed7b513864/201989115.3%1Recorded
FUERZA SOCIAL Y SOLIDARIA602ecuador/Sed7b513864/201974712.8%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO TU, TUNGURAHUA UNIDO253ecuador/Sed7b513864/201968511.7%1Recorded
CREO POR AMBATO Y TUNGURAHUA603ecuador/Sed7b513864/201967011.5%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK12ecuador/Sed7b513864/201965111.2%1Recorded
PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA25ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195509.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO3ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195188.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDOS PODEMOS598ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194888.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO8ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194748.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PSC-TIEMPO DE CAMBIO599ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191622.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS19.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK17.0%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA16.0%
  • CREO-PSP-PRIAN15.1%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO13.4%
  • 23-62-15 COMANDO CIUDADANO JUAN MONTALVO12.1%
  • PSC-TIEMPO DE CAMBIO7.0%
Results for event-88fce3b281a8d8f4e723f642
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201487719.4%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK5ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201476717%1Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201472516%1Recorded
CREO-PSP-PRIAN18005ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201468315.1%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201460413.4%1Recorded
23-62-15 COMANDO CIUDADANO JUAN MONTALVO18007ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201454712.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PSC-TIEMPO DE CAMBIO18006ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143157%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-111,998
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 155,
  "cne_parish": 3885,
  "cne_province": 18,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electorate_difference": 0,
  "electors_august": 1998,
  "electors_july": 1998,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-J-18-155-3885",
  "name": "SUCRE / PATATE / TUNGURAHUA",
  "office": "Parish board",
  "precinct_rows": [
    3706
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 43,
  "register_pdf_row": 32,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION",
  "spending_limit_usd": 4000
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “SUCRE / PATATE / TUNGURAHUA — Parish board.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-J-18-155-3885. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL, ecuador--SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER.