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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

SAN JOSÉ DE POALO / PÍLLARO / TUNGURAHUA — Parish board

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · SAN JOSÉ DE POALO / PÍLLARO / TUNGURAHUA / TUNGURAHUA · other · Parish boardEC-J-18-145-3485

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SAN JOSÉ DE POALO / PÍLLARO / TUNGURAHUA / TUNGURAHUA
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-75ea262509dec83cb45d8c64
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA39.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO CÍVICO POR AMBATO Y TUNGURAHUA12.7%
  • PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR12.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO10.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO SOLIDARIAMENTE8.2%
  • CLICC CONEXIÓN CIUDADANA4.8%
  • OPORTUNIDADES4.3%
  • PSC-TC, LISTA 6-614.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO FUERZA PILLAREÑO3.9%
Results for event-bf8c6517f1e34cce31edab83
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202358039.5%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CÍVICO POR AMBATO Y TUNGURAHUA104ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202318712.7%1Recorded
PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202317612%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO124ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202315410.5%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO SOLIDARIAMENTE160ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231208.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CLICC CONEXIÓN CIUDADANA1246ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023714.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
OPORTUNIDADES1175ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023634.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PSC-TC, LISTA 6-611106ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023594%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO FUERZA PILLAREÑO269ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023573.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MAS PROYECTO CIUDADANO17.9%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO13.9%
  • IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA12.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK10.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA9.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO TU, TUNGURAHUA UNIDO9.5%
  • PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA8.4%
  • CREO POR AMBATO Y TUNGURAHUA6.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO FUERZA PILLAREÑO5.8%
  • PSC-TIEMPO DE CAMBIO5.1%
Results for event-77572651f5e2ec30bce4e94b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MAS PROYECTO CIUDADANO561ecuador/Sed7b513864/201994117.9%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO3ecuador/Sed7b513864/201973313.9%1Recorded
IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA152ecuador/Sed7b513864/201963412%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK12ecuador/Sed7b513864/201957610.9%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA37ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195199.9%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO TU, TUNGURAHUA UNIDO253ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194989.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA25ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194438.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CREO POR AMBATO Y TUNGURAHUA603ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193426.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO FUERZA PILLAREÑO221ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193065.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PSC-TIEMPO DE CAMBIO599ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192705.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS31.1%
  • PSC-TIEMPO DE CAMBIO18.2%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA17.1%
  • 23-62-15 COMANDO CIUDADANO JUAN MONTALVO17.0%
  • CREO-PSP-PRIAN16.6%
Results for event-c648e1bc952329e966a60e90
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,30731.1%1Recorded
PSC-TIEMPO DE CAMBIO18006ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201476218.2%1Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201471917.1%1Recorded
23-62-15 COMANDO CIUDADANO JUAN MONTALVO18007ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201471417%1Recorded
CREO-PSP-PRIAN18005ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201469616.6%1Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-111,903
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 145,
  "cne_parish": 3485,
  "cne_province": 18,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electorate_difference": 0,
  "electors_august": 1903,
  "electors_july": 1903,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-J-18-145-3485",
  "name": "SAN JOSÉ DE POALO / PÍLLARO / TUNGURAHUA",
  "office": "Parish board",
  "precinct_rows": [
    3703
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 43,
  "register_pdf_row": 46,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION",
  "spending_limit_usd": 4000
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “SAN JOSÉ DE POALO / PÍLLARO / TUNGURAHUA — Parish board.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-J-18-145-3485. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL, ecuador--SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER.