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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

TOTORAS / AMBATO / TUNGURAHUA — Parish board

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · TOTORAS / AMBATO / TUNGURAHUA / TUNGURAHUA · other · Parish boardEC-J-18-135-4065

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
TOTORAS / AMBATO / TUNGURAHUA / TUNGURAHUA
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-87989870bc82710d2e22582f
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • OPORTUNIDADES21.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO RENOVACIÓN TOTAL, RETO21.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK16.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO SOLIDARIAMENTE14.5%
  • PSC-TC, LISTA 6-6113.3%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA13.2%
Results for event-c9769093009860c75c4d780e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
OPORTUNIDADES1175ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202388921.4%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO RENOVACIÓN TOTAL, RETO226ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202388821.4%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202366916.1%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO SOLIDARIAMENTE160ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202360214.5%1Recorded
PSC-TC, LISTA 6-611106ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202355013.3%1Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA101ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202354913.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PSC-TIEMPO DE CAMBIO22.5%
  • FUERZA SOCIAL Y SOLIDARIA20.0%
  • MAS PROYECTO CIUDADANO12.7%
  • PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA12.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO TU, TUNGURAHUA UNIDO11.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK11.0%
  • CREO POR AMBATO Y TUNGURAHUA4.6%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO2.9%
  • PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE2.7%
Results for event-724f70b8667e758f40fbbc51
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PSC-TIEMPO DE CAMBIO599ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,74022.5%2Recorded
FUERZA SOCIAL Y SOLIDARIA602ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,31120%1Recorded
MAS PROYECTO CIUDADANO561ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,10812.7%1Recorded
PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA25ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,06712.5%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO TU, TUNGURAHUA UNIDO253ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,85211.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK12ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,82111%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CREO POR AMBATO Y TUNGURAHUA603ecuador/Sed7b513864/20197614.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO8ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194742.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE158ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194542.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • 23-62 COMANDO CIUDADANO JUAN MONTALVO33.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS23.3%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA18.1%
  • PSC-TIEMPO DE CAMBIO16.8%
  • CREO-PSP-PRIAN8.0%
Results for event-976a848a24ff87309e6798b0
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
23-62 COMANDO CIUDADANO JUAN MONTALVO18008ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20145,04533.7%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,49223.3%1Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,70618.1%1Recorded
PSC-TIEMPO DE CAMBIO18006ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,51616.8%1Recorded
CREO-PSP-PRIAN18005ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,1978%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-115,861
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 135,
  "cne_parish": 4065,
  "cne_province": 18,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electorate_difference": 0,
  "electors_august": 5861,
  "electors_july": 5861,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-J-18-135-4065",
  "name": "TOTORAS / AMBATO / TUNGURAHUA",
  "office": "Parish board",
  "precinct_rows": [
    3771,
    3772,
    3773,
    3774,
    3837
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 43,
  "register_pdf_row": 23,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION",
  "spending_limit_usd": 4000
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “TOTORAS / AMBATO / TUNGURAHUA — Parish board.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-J-18-135-4065. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL, ecuador--SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER.