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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

QUISAPINCHA / AMBATO / TUNGURAHUA — Parish board

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · QUISAPINCHA / AMBATO / TUNGURAHUA / TUNGURAHUA · other · Parish boardEC-J-18-135-3120

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
QUISAPINCHA / AMBATO / TUNGURAHUA / TUNGURAHUA
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-db5fe1bed5eba259b90141d3
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK33.6%
  • INTEGRACION CIVICA TUNGURAHUA17.8%
  • OPORTUNIDADES15.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO RENOVACIÓN TOTAL, RETO11.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO SOLIDARIAMENTE10.0%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA9.5%
  • PSC-TC, LISTA 6-612.1%
Results for event-34cf44df00c8d91aefb9126c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,86833.6%2Recorded
INTEGRACION CIVICA TUNGURAHUA1416ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202399017.8%1Recorded
OPORTUNIDADES1175ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202383115%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO RENOVACIÓN TOTAL, RETO226ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202366411.9%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO SOLIDARIAMENTE160ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202355710%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA101ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20235309.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PSC-TC, LISTA 6-611106ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231172.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK21.6%
  • PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA17.8%
  • PSC-TIEMPO DE CAMBIO16.3%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO11.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO TU, TUNGURAHUA UNIDO9.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL9.0%
  • FUERZA SOCIAL Y SOLIDARIA8.3%
  • CREO POR AMBATO Y TUNGURAHUA6.0%
Results for event-7acd1990a27e6bb3a820fe93
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK12ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195,03621.6%2Recorded
PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA25ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,15217.8%1Recorded
PSC-TIEMPO DE CAMBIO599ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,80516.3%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO8ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,60911.2%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO TU, TUNGURAHUA UNIDO253ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,3039.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL148ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,0929%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FUERZA SOCIAL Y SOLIDARIA602ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,9288.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CREO POR AMBATO Y TUNGURAHUA603ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,3926%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK37.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS28.8%
  • CREO-PSP-PRIAN11.7%
  • PSC-TIEMPO DE CAMBIO7.9%
  • 23-62 COMANDO CIUDADANO JUAN MONTALVO7.9%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO6.3%
Results for event-871f6de309a57c79779b501d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK5ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20148,15437.4%3Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20146,27728.8%2Recorded
CREO-PSP-PRIAN18005ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,55211.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PSC-TIEMPO DE CAMBIO18006ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,7257.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
23-62 COMANDO CIUDADANO JUAN MONTALVO18008ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,7257.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,3776.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-119,042
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 135,
  "cne_parish": 3120,
  "cne_province": 18,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electorate_difference": 0,
  "electors_august": 9042,
  "electors_july": 9042,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-J-18-135-3120",
  "name": "QUISAPINCHA / AMBATO / TUNGURAHUA",
  "office": "Parish board",
  "precinct_rows": [
    3682,
    3759,
    3760
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 43,
  "register_pdf_row": 19,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION",
  "spending_limit_usd": 5425.2
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “QUISAPINCHA / AMBATO / TUNGURAHUA — Parish board.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-J-18-135-3120. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL, ecuador--SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER.