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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

IZAMBA / AMBATO / TUNGURAHUA — Parish board

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · IZAMBA / AMBATO / TUNGURAHUA / TUNGURAHUA · other · Parish boardEC-J-18-135-1745

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
IZAMBA / AMBATO / TUNGURAHUA / TUNGURAHUA
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-a5bb6435a6e01d89fd310a91
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK26.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO RENOVACIÓN TOTAL, RETO17.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO SOLIDARIAMENTE12.1%
  • OPORTUNIDADES11.9%
  • PSC-TC, LISTA 6-6110.0%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA7.1%
  • SOMOS AGUA TUNGURAHUA5.7%
  • PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA3.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO IGUALDAD DEMOCRACIA PID3.4%
  • INTEGRACION CIVICA TUNGURAHUA2.8%
Results for event-dd0d70439edd9c4b84e6593d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,89926%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO RENOVACIÓN TOTAL, RETO226ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,90617.1%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO SOLIDARIAMENTE160ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,35212.1%1Recorded
OPORTUNIDADES1175ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,32111.9%1Recorded
PSC-TC, LISTA 6-611106ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,11510%1Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA101ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20237887.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SOMOS AGUA TUNGURAHUA1358ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20236335.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20234393.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO IGUALDAD DEMOCRACIA PID222ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233833.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
INTEGRACION CIVICA TUNGURAHUA1416ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233112.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PSC-TIEMPO DE CAMBIO28.9%
  • PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA15.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK11.0%
  • FUERZA SOCIAL Y SOLIDARIA10.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS10.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA10.0%
  • CREO POR AMBATO Y TUNGURAHUA9.4%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO4.7%
Results for event-feeff8d2a57bb19685c47eea
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PSC-TIEMPO DE CAMBIO599ecuador/Sed7b513864/201913,48428.9%2Recorded
PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA25ecuador/Sed7b513864/20197,02015.1%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK12ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195,14211%1Recorded
FUERZA SOCIAL Y SOLIDARIA602ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195,05810.8%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS142ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,67310%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA37ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,65210%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CREO POR AMBATO Y TUNGURAHUA603ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,4049.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO3ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,2114.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS38.4%
  • 23-62 COMANDO CIUDADANO JUAN MONTALVO25.4%
  • PSC-TIEMPO DE CAMBIO19.2%
  • CREO-PSP-PRIAN17.1%
Results for event-c2dcc6b7762a56e9b5cd862b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201415,80638.4%2Recorded
23-62 COMANDO CIUDADANO JUAN MONTALVO18008ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201410,44725.4%1Recorded
PSC-TIEMPO DE CAMBIO18006ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20147,89219.2%1Recorded
CREO-PSP-PRIAN18005ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20147,03217.1%1Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1117,646
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 135,
  "cne_parish": 1745,
  "cne_province": 18,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electorate_difference": 0,
  "electors_august": 17646,
  "electors_july": 17646,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-J-18-135-1745",
  "name": "IZAMBA / AMBATO / TUNGURAHUA",
  "office": "Parish board",
  "precinct_rows": [
    3740,
    3741,
    3742,
    3743,
    3744
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 43,
  "register_pdf_row": 13,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION",
  "spending_limit_usd": 10587.6
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “IZAMBA / AMBATO / TUNGURAHUA — Parish board.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-J-18-135-1745. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL, ecuador--SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER.