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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

MINDO / SAN MIGUEL DE LOS BANCOS / PICHINCHA — Parish board

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · MINDO / SAN MIGUEL DE LOS BANCOS / PICHINCHA / PICHINCHA · other · Parish boardEC-J-17-770-2410

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
MINDO / SAN MIGUEL DE LOS BANCOS / PICHINCHA / PICHINCHA
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-7208a5385b25d089b1753be5
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • VA POR TI30.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO TODOS20.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA14.6%
  • PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA13.8%
  • PSC - SUMA - MCA13.3%
  • UNIDOS POR LA VIDA Y EL PROGRESO7.0%
Results for event-b927ea8c49226f42fab00631
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
VA POR TI1418ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202354130.7%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO TODOS149ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202336220.5%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202325714.6%1Recorded
PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202324413.8%1Recorded
PSC - SUMA - MCA1274ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202323513.3%1Recorded
UNIDOS POR LA VIDA Y EL PROGRESO1087ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231237%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • ALIANZA IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA-DEMOCRACIA SÍ- LOS BANCOS29.5%
  • ALIANZA CREO 21 - MCA 10629.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA16.5%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO15.4%
  • PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA6.8%
  • PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE2.8%
Results for event-866f7c023cee3e942ade8a15
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA-DEMOCRACIA SÍ- LOS BANCOS662ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,98729.5%2Recorded
ALIANZA CREO 21 - MCA 106504ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,95429%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA13ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,10916.5%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO8ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,03915.4%1Recorded
PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA25ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194606.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE158ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191902.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PARTIDO AVANZA31.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS22.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE CIUDADANOS ACTIVOS22.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO SERVICIO CON EQUIDAD Y RESPONSABILIDAD6.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO GENERACIÓN GUARUMOS6.7%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO5.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO3.1%
Results for event-b887f9479ec8116927cdac14
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,69931.9%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,21722.9%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE CIUDADANOS ACTIVOS17007ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,20922.7%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SERVICIO CON EQUIDAD Y RESPONSABILIDAD17010ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143696.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO GENERACIÓN GUARUMOS17009ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143556.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143035.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141673.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-112,481
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 770,
  "cne_parish": 2410,
  "cne_province": 17,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electorate_difference": 0,
  "electors_august": 2481,
  "electors_july": 2481,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-J-17-770-2410",
  "name": "MINDO / SAN MIGUEL DE LOS BANCOS / PICHINCHA",
  "office": "Parish board",
  "precinct_rows": [
    3364,
    3428
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 41,
  "register_pdf_row": 43,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION",
  "spending_limit_usd": 4000
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “MINDO / SAN MIGUEL DE LOS BANCOS / PICHINCHA — Parish board.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-J-17-770-2410. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL, ecuador--SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER.