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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

LA ESPERANZA / PEDRO MONCAYO / PICHINCHA — Parish board

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · LA ESPERANZA / PEDRO MONCAYO / PICHINCHA / PICHINCHA · other · Parish boardEC-J-17-75-2025

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
LA ESPERANZA / PEDRO MONCAYO / PICHINCHA / PICHINCHA
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-ab8fc815a0d33893132ead33
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PEDRO MONCAYO POR LA UNIDAD Y EL CAMBIO42.2%
  • BANDOLA VIVE26.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA17.5%
  • PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA10.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO TODOS3.4%
Results for event-18685fbe1f7525a7a684ebbb
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PEDRO MONCAYO POR LA UNIDAD Y EL CAMBIO1059ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202394242.2%2Recorded
BANDOLA VIVE1209ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202358126%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202339017.5%1Recorded
PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202324410.9%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO TODOS149ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023763.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • ALIANZA SUMA 23 - DEMOCRACIA SI 2019.5%
  • ALIANZA BANDOLA VIVE - CONCERTACIÓN19.3%
  • ALIANZA UNIDAD PEDROMONCAYENSE 35-11419.2%
  • ALIANZA MIRAS 101 - CREO 2116.3%
  • IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA12.0%
  • ALIANZA PEDRO MONCAYO POR LA UNIDAD Y EL CAMBIO11.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO ACCION INDEPENDIENTE RENACER, AIRE2.7%
Results for event-04c95399057eed6c6e00cada
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA SUMA 23 - DEMOCRACIA SI 20572ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,42219.5%1Recorded
ALIANZA BANDOLA VIVE - CONCERTACIÓN515ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,40819.3%1Recorded
ALIANZA UNIDAD PEDROMONCAYENSE 35-114521ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,40019.2%1Recorded
ALIANZA MIRAS 101 - CREO 21513ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,19416.3%1Recorded
IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA152ecuador/Sed7b513864/201987612%1Recorded
ALIANZA PEDRO MONCAYO POR LA UNIDAD Y EL CAMBIO657ecuador/Sed7b513864/201981411.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ACCION INDEPENDIENTE RENACER, AIRE249ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191952.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS24.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD CANTONAL BANDOLA VIVE21.0%
  • ALIANZA AVANZA/MIRAS20.0%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO16.1%
  • ALIANZA SUMA-VIVE10.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK8.1%
Results for event-c7ffb9b517e030984fe585b8
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,62124.2%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD CANTONAL BANDOLA VIVE17005ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,40621%1Recorded
ALIANZA AVANZA/MIRAS17014ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,33620%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,07616.1%1Recorded
ALIANZA SUMA-VIVE17011ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201471310.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK5ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20145418.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-113,163
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 75,
  "cne_parish": 2025,
  "cne_province": 17,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electorate_difference": 0,
  "electors_august": 3163,
  "electors_july": 3163,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-J-17-75-2025",
  "name": "LA ESPERANZA / PEDRO MONCAYO / PICHINCHA",
  "office": "Parish board",
  "precinct_rows": [
    3294
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 40,
  "register_pdf_row": 48,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION",
  "spending_limit_usd": 4000
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “LA ESPERANZA / PEDRO MONCAYO / PICHINCHA — Parish board.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-J-17-75-2025. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL, ecuador--SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER.