Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

STA.ROSA DE CUSUBAMBA / CAYAMBE / PICHINCHA — Parish board

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · STA.ROSA DE CUSUBAMBA / CAYAMBE / PICHINCHA / PICHINCHA · other · Parish boardEC-J-17-65-3735

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
STA.ROSA DE CUSUBAMBA / CAYAMBE / PICHINCHA / PICHINCHA
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-8146fea1283dd43268ed3827
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA33.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK27.6%
  • RENACE23.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO16.0%
Results for event-53a736a9185dcd650c53e8a8
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202385533.3%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202370927.6%1Recorded
RENACE1094ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202359223.1%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO124ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202341116%1Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA23.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK20.0%
  • ALIANZA CAYAMBE NOS UNE17.5%
  • ALIANZA CREO 21 - COMPROMISO 10910.2%
  • ALIANZA AVANZA 8 - UNIDAD POPULAR 29.7%
  • IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA9.0%
  • UNION ECUATORIANA7.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS2.6%
Results for event-69ce7df77d880ea8e171567b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA13ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,04223.3%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK12ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,75020%1Recorded
ALIANZA CAYAMBE NOS UNE570ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,53717.5%1Recorded
ALIANZA CREO 21 - COMPROMISO 109518ecuador/Sed7b513864/201989210.2%1Recorded
ALIANZA AVANZA 8 - UNIDAD POPULAR 2733ecuador/Sed7b513864/20198479.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA152ecuador/Sed7b513864/20197909%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION ECUATORIANA51ecuador/Sed7b513864/20196747.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS142ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192282.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO34.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS25.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO VIVE24.8%
  • ALIANZA PACHAKUTIK-AVANZA11.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO4.7%
Results for event-7848149b93b2fb0f1436ebda
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,56234.1%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,87725%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO VIVE17001ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,86424.8%1Recorded
ALIANZA PACHAKUTIK-AVANZA17013ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201485811.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143544.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-113,762
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 65,
  "cne_parish": 3735,
  "cne_province": 17,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electorate_difference": 0,
  "electors_august": 3762,
  "electors_july": 3762,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-J-17-65-3735",
  "name": "STA.ROSA DE CUSUBAMBA / CAYAMBE / PICHINCHA",
  "office": "Parish board",
  "precinct_rows": [
    3302
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 40,
  "register_pdf_row": 40,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION",
  "spending_limit_usd": 4000
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “STA.ROSA DE CUSUBAMBA / CAYAMBE / PICHINCHA — Parish board.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-J-17-65-3735. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL, ecuador--SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER.