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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

GUAYLLABAMBA / QUITO / PICHINCHA — Parish board

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · GUAYLLABAMBA / QUITO / PICHINCHA / PICHINCHA · other · Parish boardEC-J-17-60-1475

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
GUAYLLABAMBA / QUITO / PICHINCHA / PICHINCHA
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-f65ee33adefb91185e638a40
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO30.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA27.1%
  • VA POR TI15.3%
  • JUNTOS POR LA GENTE10.5%
  • ORDEN Y SEGURIDAD PARA QUITO8.4%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMA8.1%
Results for event-9850a956e62cc7ff26d24b5e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO39ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,82330.5%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,50527.1%1Recorded
VA POR TI1418ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,41415.3%1Recorded
JUNTOS POR LA GENTE1091ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202397510.5%1Recorded
ORDEN Y SEGURIDAD PARA QUITO1267ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20237788.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMA42ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20237488.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO ACCION DEMOCRATICA ECUATORIANA, ADE25.4%
  • UNION ECUATORIANA18.0%
  • ALIANZA CREO 21 - AHORA 6516.3%
  • IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA9.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA7.3%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO6.3%
  • PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA5.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION4.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ3.7%
  • UNIDAD POPULAR2.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO INCLUYENTE DE OPORTUNIDADES Y EQUIDAD SOCIAL, MIOS1.3%
Results for event-9a910cc09e195e449610b567
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ACCION DEMOCRATICA ECUATORIANA, ADE226ecuador/Sed7b513864/20198,56425.4%2Recorded
UNION ECUATORIANA51ecuador/Sed7b513864/20196,08418%1Recorded
ALIANZA CREO 21 - AHORA 65519ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195,50916.3%1Recorded
IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA152ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,0939.2%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA13ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,4827.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO1ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,1326.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA25ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,9265.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION18ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,4604.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ198ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,2453.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDAD POPULAR143ecuador/Sed7b513864/20198292.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO INCLUYENTE DE OPORTUNIDADES Y EQUIDAD SOCIAL, MIOS183ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194511.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS40.0%
  • ALIANZA SUMA-VIVE22.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO16.1%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA13.3%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO6.4%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"2.2%
Results for event-da00f0f5bfcb325db0d156f9
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201414,38440%3Recorded
ALIANZA SUMA-VIVE17011ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20147,90922%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20145,80816.1%1Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144,79413.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO11ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,2896.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"4ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20148022.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1115,532
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 60,
  "cne_parish": 1475,
  "cne_province": 17,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electorate_difference": 0,
  "electors_august": 15532,
  "electors_july": 15532,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-J-17-60-1475",
  "name": "GUAYLLABAMBA / QUITO / PICHINCHA",
  "office": "Parish board",
  "precinct_rows": [
    3592,
    3593,
    3594
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 41,
  "register_pdf_row": 19,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION",
  "spending_limit_usd": 9319.2
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “GUAYLLABAMBA / QUITO / PICHINCHA — Parish board.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-J-17-60-1475. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL, ecuador--SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER.