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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

SHELL / MERA / PASTAZA — Parish board

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · SHELL / MERA / PASTAZA / PASTAZA · other · Parish boardEC-J-16-685-3840

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SHELL / MERA / PASTAZA / PASTAZA
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-7a6b3ae0bebfbf6757cc1299
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ¡ÁNIMO PASTAZA!32.3%
  • UNIDOS POR PASTAZA26.9%
  • YO APOYO A LA EXPERIENCIA22.7%
  • PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR7.3%
  • HAGAMOSLO JUNTOS5.7%
  • PASTAZA SOMOS TODOS5.3%
Results for event-65840f5a9dfa8d2f16ff6bd4
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
¡ÁNIMO PASTAZA!1009ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,52232.3%2Recorded
UNIDOS POR PASTAZA1398ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,26826.9%2Recorded
YO APOYO A LA EXPERIENCIA1002ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,07022.7%1Recorded
PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233437.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
HAGAMOSLO JUNTOS1304ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232675.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PASTAZA SOMOS TODOS1247ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232485.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • EL DESARROLLO CONTINUA25.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS22.9%
  • ALIANZA MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO UNIDOS POR PASTAZA LISTA 61-PSC LISTA 619.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES7.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK7.3%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO7.1%
  • UNIDOS POR MERA6.4%
  • PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE4.4%
Results for event-57142c05b8d3834310342380
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
EL DESARROLLO CONTINUA557ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,69025.5%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS142ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,20222.9%2Recorded
ALIANZA MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO UNIDOS POR PASTAZA LISTA 61-PSC LISTA 6554ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,53119.2%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES22ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,3347.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK12ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,3337.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO8ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,3067.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDOS POR MERA614ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,1736.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE158ecuador/Sed7b513864/20198114.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • ALIANZA DEL PUEBLO LISTAS 61-10128.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO SUMA28.3%
  • JUNTOS POR LA DIGNIDAD DE PASTAZA22.7%
  • ALIANZA PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA LISTA 3 - MOVIMIENTO CREO LISTA 2112.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK7.3%
Results for event-51602fbf599a165e488ddd5d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA DEL PUEBLO LISTAS 61-10116006ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144,38828.8%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUMA13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144,31028.3%2Recorded
JUNTOS POR LA DIGNIDAD DE PASTAZA16007ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,45522.7%1Recorded
ALIANZA PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA LISTA 3 - MOVIMIENTO CREO LISTA 2116005ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,96712.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK5ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,1097.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-116,828
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 685,
  "cne_parish": 3840,
  "cne_province": 16,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electorate_difference": 0,
  "electors_august": 6828,
  "electors_july": 6828,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-J-16-685-3840",
  "name": "SHELL / MERA / PASTAZA",
  "office": "Parish board",
  "precinct_rows": [
    3199,
    3200
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 40,
  "register_pdf_row": 18,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION",
  "spending_limit_usd": 5325.84
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “SHELL / MERA / PASTAZA — Parish board.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-J-16-685-3840. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL, ecuador--SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER.