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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

CUMANDÁ / PALORA / MORONA SANTIAGO — Parish board

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · CUMANDÁ / PALORA / MORONA SANTIAGO / MORONA SANTIAGO · other · Parish boardEC-J-14-615-715

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
CUMANDÁ / PALORA / MORONA SANTIAGO / MORONA SANTIAGO
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-282b860098b16d8efe4b9b17
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO DE INTEGRACIÓN Y DIGNIDAD CUMANDÁ49.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK39.1%
  • UNIDAD CANTONAL PALORA11.7%
Results for event-beeacb92c9945d345cf05d42
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO DE INTEGRACIÓN Y DIGNIDAD CUMANDÁ76ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202320649.2%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202316439.1%2Recorded
UNIDAD CANTONAL PALORA1280ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20234911.7%1Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO DE INTEGRACIÓN Y DIGNIDAD CUMANDÁ65.4%
  • ALIANZA PROGRESA MORONA SANTIAGO FUERZA AMAZÓNICA LISTA 62 Y ALIANZA PAIS LISTA 3520.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK14.5%
Results for event-b056aab5ddfcee27567c63b2
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO DE INTEGRACIÓN Y DIGNIDAD CUMANDÁ124ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,07465.4%4Recorded
ALIANZA PROGRESA MORONA SANTIAGO FUERZA AMAZÓNICA LISTA 62 Y ALIANZA PAIS LISTA 35514ecuador/Sed7b513864/201933120.1%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK12ecuador/Sed7b513864/201923814.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • ALIANZA CUMANDA53.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK24.6%
  • ALIANZA JUNTOS POR MORONA SANTIAGO21.7%
Results for event-faa86cfcb961d9efa3169881
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA CUMANDA14005ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201493653.7%3Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK5ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201442924.6%1Recorded
ALIANZA JUNTOS POR MORONA SANTIAGO14004ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201437821.7%1Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-11484
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 615,
  "cne_parish": 715,
  "cne_province": 14,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electorate_difference": 0,
  "electors_august": 484,
  "electors_july": 484,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-J-14-615-715",
  "name": "CUMANDÁ / PALORA / MORONA SANTIAGO",
  "office": "Parish board",
  "precinct_rows": [
    2922,
    2957
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 38,
  "register_pdf_row": 32,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION",
  "spending_limit_usd": 5200
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “CUMANDÁ / PALORA / MORONA SANTIAGO — Parish board.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-J-14-615-715. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL, ecuador--SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER.