Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

AMÉRICA /LA CERA / JIPIJAPA / MANABÍ — Parish board

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · AMÉRICA /LA CERA / JIPIJAPA / MANABÍ / MANABÍ · other · Parish boardEC-J-13-455-105

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
AMÉRICA /LA CERA / JIPIJAPA / MANABÍ / MANABÍ
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-599183a9d691a3715bc48edf
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD JIPIJAPENSE31.3%
  • RC - SÍ PODEMOS, LISTAS 5-7224.6%
  • MANABITAMENTE19.9%
  • PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA14.1%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO4.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO VERDE, ÉTICO, REVOLUCIONARIO, DEMOCRÁTICO, (MOVER)3.8%
  • PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR2.2%
Results for event-ea598f7942d10946569a44e3
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD JIPIJAPENSE1044ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202357031.3%2Recorded
RC - SÍ PODEMOS, LISTAS 5-721378ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202344924.6%1Recorded
MANABITAMENTE1079ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202336319.9%1Recorded
PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202325714.1%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO32ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023744.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO VERDE, ÉTICO, REVOLUCIONARIO, DEMOCRÁTICO, (MOVER)186ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023693.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023412.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO21.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO UNIDAD PRIMERO17.7%
  • ALIANZA OPORTUNIDAD Y CAMBIO EXCEPCION 2017.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK12.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA10.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL5.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS3.4%
  • ALIANZA JUNTOS POR JIPIJAPA - MOVIMIENTO CREO LISTAS 21 - MOVIMIENTO UNIDAD POPULAR LISTAS 23.3%
  • IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA3.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO SI PODEMOS3.0%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO1.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE ACCIÓN CÍVICA DE HOMBRES Y MUJERES POR EL TRABAJO Y LA EQUIDAD, MACHETE0.8%
Results for event-2d26dbd9ecaa76b877ef85ef
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO1ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,38721.6%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO UNIDAD PRIMERO34ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,13417.7%1Recorded
ALIANZA OPORTUNIDAD Y CAMBIO EXCEPCION 20818ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,09017%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK12ecuador/Sed7b513864/201980412.5%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA37ecuador/Sed7b513864/201969010.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL170ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193715.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS142ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192163.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA JUNTOS POR JIPIJAPA - MOVIMIENTO CREO LISTAS 21 - MOVIMIENTO UNIDAD POPULAR LISTAS 2712ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192143.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA152ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192073.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SI PODEMOS191ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191913%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO3ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019661%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE ACCIÓN CÍVICA DE HOMBRES Y MUJERES POR EL TRABAJO Y LA EQUIDAD, MACHETE41ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019530.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PARTIDO AVANZA38.3%
  • PAIS - UNIDAD PRIMERO 35-6524.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK11.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE ACCION CIVICA HUMANISTA POR LA ETICA EL TRABAJO I EQUIDAD8.5%
  • PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO8.1%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO6.0%
  • ALIANZA CIVICA CIUDADANA3.8%
Results for event-c5a2fff9901a61777fbf72be
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,38838.3%3Recorded
PAIS - UNIDAD PRIMERO 35-6513011ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,50924.2%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK5ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201469111.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE ACCION CIVICA HUMANISTA POR LA ETICA EL TRABAJO I EQUIDAD13002ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20145288.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20145088.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143746%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA CIVICA CIUDADANA13010ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142363.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-112,836
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 455,
  "cne_parish": 105,
  "cne_province": 13,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electorate_difference": 0,
  "electors_august": 2836,
  "electors_july": 2836,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-J-13-455-105",
  "name": "AMÉRICA /LA CERA / JIPIJAPA / MANABÍ",
  "office": "Parish board",
  "precinct_rows": [
    2597
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 37,
  "register_pdf_row": 13,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION",
  "spending_limit_usd": 4000
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “AMÉRICA /LA CERA / JIPIJAPA / MANABÍ — Parish board.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-J-13-455-105. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL, ecuador--SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER.