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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

LA PILA / MONTECRISTI / MANABÍ — Parish board

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · LA PILA / MONTECRISTI / MANABÍ / MANABÍ · other · Parish boardEC-J-13-445-1545

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
LA PILA / MONTECRISTI / MANABÍ / MANABÍ
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-2c680bc54e03e1f5bd90ee4f
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO56.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA29.9%
  • ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD MONTECRISTENSE5.2%
  • POR EL TRABAJO Y BIENESTAR DE LOS MANABITAS3.1%
  • MANABITAMENTE2.6%
  • PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA1.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO SI PODEMOS0.9%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO0.7%
  • PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR0.3%
Results for event-391b998b9c9faf115912c4cf
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO32ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,38556.3%3Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202373429.9%2Recorded
ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD MONTECRISTENSE1050ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231275.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
POR EL TRABAJO Y BIENESTAR DE LOS MANABITAS1248ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023763.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MANABITAMENTE1079ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023652.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023271.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SI PODEMOS156ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023210.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO34ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023160.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202370.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • ALIANZA OPORTUNIDAD Y CAMBIO EXCEPCION 1744.6%
  • ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD MANABITA PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO LISTAS 6 - MOVIMIENTO UNIDAD PRIMERO LISTAS 6537.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO INTEGRAFDOR RENACE, MIR8.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL3.6%
  • ALIANZA POR EL CAMBIO DE MONTECRISTI - PARTIDO POLITICO AVANZA LISTAS 8 - PARTIDO POLITICO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRATICA LISTAS 122.7%
  • ALIANZA CREO LISTA 21 - SI PODEMOS LISTA 721.4%
  • UNIDAD POPULAR1.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION0.7%
Results for event-572a6db9d099ae59cbd415e8
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA OPORTUNIDAD Y CAMBIO EXCEPCION 17814ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,96344.6%3Recorded
ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD MANABITA PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO LISTAS 6 - MOVIMIENTO UNIDAD PRIMERO LISTAS 65711ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,33537.6%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO INTEGRAFDOR RENACE, MIR153ecuador/Sed7b513864/20197298.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL170ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193203.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA POR EL CAMBIO DE MONTECRISTI - PARTIDO POLITICO AVANZA LISTAS 8 - PARTIDO POLITICO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRATICA LISTAS 12806ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192402.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA CREO LISTA 21 - SI PODEMOS LISTA 72673ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191231.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDAD POPULAR143ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191071.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION18ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019640.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PAIS - UNIDAD PRIMERO 35-6535.4%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA24.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO24.4%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO10.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO SUMA3.4%
  • PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO1.3%
Results for event-fa796ddbd9016e2368812c8b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PAIS - UNIDAD PRIMERO 35-6513011ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,60235.4%2Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,83224.9%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,79524.4%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201477210.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUMA13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142513.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014981.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-113,009
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 445,
  "cne_parish": 1545,
  "cne_province": 13,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electorate_difference": 0,
  "electors_august": 3009,
  "electors_july": 3009,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-J-13-445-1545",
  "name": "LA PILA / MONTECRISTI / MANABÍ",
  "office": "Parish board",
  "precinct_rows": [
    2793
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 37,
  "register_pdf_row": 22,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION",
  "spending_limit_usd": 4000
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “LA PILA / MONTECRISTI / MANABÍ — Parish board.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-J-13-445-1545. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL, ecuador--SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER.