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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

ALHAJUELA /BAJO GRANDE / PORTOVIEJO / MANABÍ — Parish board

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · ALHAJUELA /BAJO GRANDE / PORTOVIEJO / MANABÍ / MANABÍ · other · Parish boardEC-J-13-440-50

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
ALHAJUELA /BAJO GRANDE / PORTOVIEJO / MANABÍ / MANABÍ
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-76621befdfc79957eb68baf4
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • POR EL TRABAJO Y BIENESTAR DE LOS MANABITAS36.6%
  • ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD MANABITA23.5%
  • RC - SÍ PODEMOS, LISTAS 5-7218.1%
  • PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR6.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO GENTE NUEVA (MGN)6.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO IGUALDAD DEMOCRACIA PID5.4%
  • MANABITAMENTE1.7%
  • 1-331.6%
Results for event-16f5cecc6c223973ad7e3555
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
POR EL TRABAJO Y BIENESTAR DE LOS MANABITAS1248ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,13236.6%2Recorded
ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD MANABITA1041ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202372523.5%2Recorded
RC - SÍ PODEMOS, LISTAS 5-721378ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202356118.1%1Recorded
PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232096.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO GENTE NUEVA (MGN)202ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231946.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO IGUALDAD DEMOCRACIA PID222ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231685.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MANABITAMENTE1079ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023521.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
1-331387ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023501.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • ALIANZA POR EL DESARROLLO DE MANABI - MOVIMIENTO AVANZA LISTAS 8 - PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRATICA LISTAS 12 - MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL LISTA 11 - MOVIMIENTO DE ACCION CIVICA DE HOMBRE Y MUJERES POR LA ETICA EL TRABAJO Y LA EQUIDAD MACHETE LISTAS 6125.3%
  • ALIANZA ELECTORAL - PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO LISTA 6 - UNIDAD PRIMERO LISTA 65 - MOVIMIENTO CAMINO LISTA 10517.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO12.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL11.0%
  • ALIANZA OPORTUNIDAD Y CAMBIO - MOVIMIENTO MEJOR LISTAS 100 - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS LISTAS 35 - MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SI LISTAS 20 - MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO LISTAS 1 - PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANA LISTAS 178.6%
  • UNIDAD POPULAR6.3%
  • ALIANZA MOVIMIENTO SI PODEMOS LSITAS 72 - MOVIMIENTO EXUD LISTAS 1205.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES5.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO NUEVA GENERACION3.4%
  • FUERZA.EC2.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS2.0%
Results for event-ac0054250d0b1b82b3215ca5
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA POR EL DESARROLLO DE MANABI - MOVIMIENTO AVANZA LISTAS 8 - PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRATICA LISTAS 12 - MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL LISTA 11 - MOVIMIENTO DE ACCION CIVICA DE HOMBRE Y MUJERES POR LA ETICA EL TRABAJO Y LA EQUIDAD MACHETE LISTAS 61803ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,71925.3%2Recorded
ALIANZA ELECTORAL - PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO LISTA 6 - UNIDAD PRIMERO LISTA 65 - MOVIMIENTO CAMINO LISTA 105721ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,88417.5%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO219ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,34912.5%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL148ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,18811%1Recorded
ALIANZA OPORTUNIDAD Y CAMBIO - MOVIMIENTO MEJOR LISTAS 100 - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS LISTAS 35 - MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SI LISTAS 20 - MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO LISTAS 1 - PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANA LISTAS 17732ecuador/Sed7b513864/20199318.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDAD POPULAR143ecuador/Sed7b513864/20196736.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA MOVIMIENTO SI PODEMOS LSITAS 72 - MOVIMIENTO EXUD LISTAS 120804ecuador/Sed7b513864/20196315.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES22ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195865.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO NUEVA GENERACION264ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193633.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FUERZA.EC146ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192272.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS142ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192152%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PAIS - UNIDAD PRIMERO 35-6530.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO SUMA28.3%
  • ALIANZA CIVICA CIUDADANA16.6%
  • PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO8.8%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA8.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO7.5%
Results for event-29634187c238632f24882031
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PAIS - UNIDAD PRIMERO 35-6513011ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,20830.8%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUMA13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,94228.3%2Recorded
ALIANZA CIVICA CIUDADANA13010ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,72916.6%1Recorded
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20149168.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20148358%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20147827.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-114,973
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 440,
  "cne_parish": 50,
  "cne_province": 13,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electorate_difference": 0,
  "electors_august": 4973,
  "electors_july": 4973,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-J-13-440-50",
  "name": "ALHAJUELA /BAJO GRANDE / PORTOVIEJO / MANABÍ",
  "office": "Parish board",
  "precinct_rows": [
    2471,
    2472,
    2805
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 37,
  "register_pdf_row": 33,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION",
  "spending_limit_usd": 4000
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “ALHAJUELA /BAJO GRANDE / PORTOVIEJO / MANABÍ — Parish board.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-J-13-440-50. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL, ecuador--SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER.