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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

LA UNIÓN / BABAHOYO / LOS RÍOS — Parish board

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · LA UNIÓN / BABAHOYO / LOS RÍOS / LOS RÍOS · other · Parish boardEC-J-12-515-1525

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
LA UNIÓN / BABAHOYO / LOS RÍOS / LOS RÍOS
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-6ece4be5c4481036380d03ba
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • RC5-RETO 3351.5%
  • UNIDOS POR LOS RIOS 1-4-17-20-21-23-2521.8%
  • POR BABAHOYO17.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO CRECER6.9%
  • POR UN BABAHOYO CON ROSTRO HUMANO2.4%
Results for event-7a84ae1ed11c9723f627a541
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
RC5-RETO 331324ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,67851.5%3Recorded
UNIDOS POR LOS RIOS 1-4-17-20-21-23-251500ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,55721.8%1Recorded
POR BABAHOYO1225ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,24817.5%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CRECER257ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20234906.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
POR UN BABAHOYO CON ROSTRO HUMANO1199ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231752.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO20.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL15.4%
  • CREO - FE13.4%
  • PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE11.8%
  • POR UN BABAHOYO MEJOR10.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ10.0%
  • PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA8.0%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO6.3%
  • UNIDAD POPULAR4.2%
Results for event-faf72cc8b7c783640dfacfd0
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO1ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,68320.6%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL148ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,51815.4%1Recorded
CREO - FE659ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,05613.4%1Recorded
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE158ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,67811.8%1Recorded
POR UN BABAHOYO MEJOR752ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,33810.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ198ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,27610%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA25ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,8288%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO3ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,4396.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDAD POPULAR143ecuador/Sed7b513864/20199604.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS45.1%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO-CREO-PSP LISTAS 6-21-332.3%
  • PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO10.0%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA7.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO RENOVADOR BABAHOYENSE3.5%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO2.0%
Results for event-b8daa420b28fc1a06c7307b2
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20147,72445.1%3Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO-CREO-PSP LISTAS 6-21-312004ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20145,54332.3%2Recorded
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,70710%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,2147.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO RENOVADOR BABAHOYENSE12001ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20146063.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143512%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1110,858
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 515,
  "cne_parish": 1525,
  "cne_province": 12,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electorate_difference": 0,
  "electors_august": 10858,
  "electors_july": 10858,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-J-12-515-1525",
  "name": "LA UNIÓN / BABAHOYO / LOS RÍOS",
  "office": "Parish board",
  "precinct_rows": [
    2281,
    2288,
    2289
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 36,
  "register_pdf_row": 27,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION",
  "spending_limit_usd": 6514.8
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “LA UNIÓN / BABAHOYO / LOS RÍOS — Parish board.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-J-12-515-1525. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL, ecuador--SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER.