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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

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Office briefing

12 DE DICIEMBRE / PINDAL / LOJA — Parish board

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · 12 DE DICIEMBRE / PINDAL / LOJA / LOJA · other · Parish boardEC-J-11-730-1035

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
12 DE DICIEMBRE / PINDAL / LOJA / LOJA
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-cef754d29b9e270c0edf33d9
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • JUNTOS POR LOJA31.2%
  • PINDAL SURGE25.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO ACCION REGIONAL POR LA EQUIDAD, ARE24.5%
  • SOMOS EL CAMBIO10.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO IGUALDAD DEMOCRACIA PID9.0%
Results for event-5fd2af9cb646d3d7ebfd5aea
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
JUNTOS POR LOJA1129ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202337131.2%2Recorded
PINDAL SURGE1309ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202330025.2%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ACCION REGIONAL POR LA EQUIDAD, ARE33ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202329124.5%1Recorded
SOMOS EL CAMBIO1442ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202312010.1%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO IGUALDAD DEMOCRACIA PID222ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231079%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO27.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO PINDALEÑO SURGE24.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO, CAMBIO Y DESARROLLO23.1%
  • ALIANZA LOJA PROGRESA13.9%
  • ALIANZA LOJA PARA TODOS5.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA4.8%
Results for event-d99956795b2f82cce26f2dae
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO1ecuador/Sed7b513864/201978627.6%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO PINDALEÑO SURGE205ecuador/Sed7b513864/201970924.9%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO, CAMBIO Y DESARROLLO29ecuador/Sed7b513864/201965823.1%1Recorded
ALIANZA LOJA PROGRESA652ecuador/Sed7b513864/201939713.9%1Recorded
ALIANZA LOJA PARA TODOS596ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191635.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA13ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191374.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS40.6%
  • ALIANZA CAMINO AL PROGRESO20.0%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO19.6%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA17.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO SUMA1.9%
Results for event-001e2f225714296324af3ad8
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201492140.6%2Recorded
ALIANZA CAMINO AL PROGRESO11012ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201445420%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201444519.6%1Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201440417.8%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUMA13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014421.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-111,491
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 730,
  "cne_parish": 1035,
  "cne_province": 11,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electorate_difference": 0,
  "electors_august": 1491,
  "electors_july": 1491,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-J-11-730-1035",
  "name": "12 DE DICIEMBRE / PINDAL / LOJA",
  "office": "Parish board",
  "precinct_rows": [
    2108,
    2233
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 35,
  "register_pdf_row": 36,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION",
  "spending_limit_usd": 4000
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “12 DE DICIEMBRE / PINDAL / LOJA — Parish board.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-J-11-730-1035. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL, ecuador--SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER.