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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

COLAIZACA / CALVAS / LOJA — Parish board

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · COLAIZACA / CALVAS / LOJA / LOJA · other · Parish boardEC-J-11-320-590

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
COLAIZACA / CALVAS / LOJA / LOJA
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-ceaefa7fa176a5289e7e6f4d
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • CALVAS RENACE100.0%
Results for event-e8e912622a0b706b2ed80fd4
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
CALVAS RENACE1265ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023575100%5Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • ALIANZA ÚNETE AL CAMBIO19.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION17.8%
  • ALIANZA LOJA PROGRESA14.9%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO11.6%
  • CENTRO DEMOCRATICO9.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA8.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA POPULAR LATINOAMERICANAM, APLA8.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA5.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO LIBERTAD, INTEGRACIÓN Y DEMOCRACIA4.8%
Results for event-d79a3a0057d9315605960e00
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA ÚNETE AL CAMBIO635ecuador/Sed7b513864/201959419.8%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION18ecuador/Sed7b513864/201953517.8%1Recorded
ALIANZA LOJA PROGRESA652ecuador/Sed7b513864/201944914.9%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO1ecuador/Sed7b513864/201935011.6%1Recorded
CENTRO DEMOCRATICO145ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192719%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA37ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192598.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA POPULAR LATINOAMERICANAM, APLA23ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192418%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA13ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191645.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO LIBERTAD, INTEGRACIÓN Y DEMOCRACIA182ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191444.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • ALIANZA CAMINO AL PROGRESO25.8%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"25.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS22.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA POPULAR LATINOAMERICANA14.7%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA11.7%
Results for event-f15acc099a1d2a449021b1f6
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA CAMINO AL PROGRESO11012ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201479325.8%2Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"4ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201478125.4%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201468622.3%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA POPULAR LATINOAMERICANA11005ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201445014.7%1Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201436011.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-111,668
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 320,
  "cne_parish": 590,
  "cne_province": 11,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electorate_difference": 0,
  "electors_august": 1668,
  "electors_july": 1668,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-J-11-320-590",
  "name": "COLAIZACA / CALVAS / LOJA",
  "office": "Parish board",
  "precinct_rows": [
    2089,
    2176
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 34,
  "register_pdf_row": 26,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION",
  "spending_limit_usd": 4000
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “COLAIZACA / CALVAS / LOJA — Parish board.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-J-11-320-590. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL, ecuador--SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER.