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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

UTUANA / CALVAS / LOJA — Parish board

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · UTUANA / CALVAS / LOJA / LOJA · other · Parish boardEC-J-11-320-4150

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
UTUANA / CALVAS / LOJA / LOJA
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-8dd39bfcb25ea3ef4c65a5ca
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA46.1%
  • SOMOS EL CAMBIO34.0%
  • JUNTOS POR LOJA11.6%
  • CALVAS RENACE8.3%
Results for event-3716febea87bbda1c928b0cb
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202327146.1%2Recorded
SOMOS EL CAMBIO1442ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202320034%2Recorded
JUNTOS POR LOJA1129ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20236811.6%1Recorded
CALVAS RENACE1265ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023498.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA28.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION21.7%
  • CENTRO DEMOCRATICO17.7%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO11.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA7.8%
  • ALIANZA ÚNETE AL CAMBIO7.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA POPULAR LATINOAMERICANAM, APLA5.6%
Results for event-81b53dd463ad91243129c9b8
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA13ecuador/Sed7b513864/201953728.1%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION18ecuador/Sed7b513864/201941521.7%1Recorded
CENTRO DEMOCRATICO145ecuador/Sed7b513864/201933917.7%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO1ecuador/Sed7b513864/201922611.8%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA37ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191497.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA ÚNETE AL CAMBIO635ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191387.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA POPULAR LATINOAMERICANAM, APLA23ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191075.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS23.3%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA19.4%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"18.9%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO16.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA POPULAR LATINOAMERICANA12.4%
  • ALIANZA CAMINO AL PROGRESO9.8%
Results for event-27b9da0939fd601ab0fed761
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201434123.3%1Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201428419.4%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"4ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201427718.9%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201423616.1%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA POPULAR LATINOAMERICANA11005ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201418112.4%1Recorded
ALIANZA CAMINO AL PROGRESO11012ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141439.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-11824
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 320,
  "cne_parish": 4150,
  "cne_province": 11,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electorate_difference": 0,
  "electors_august": 824,
  "electors_july": 824,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-J-11-320-4150",
  "name": "UTUANA / CALVAS / LOJA",
  "office": "Parish board",
  "precinct_rows": [
    2091
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 34,
  "register_pdf_row": 29,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION",
  "spending_limit_usd": 4000
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “UTUANA / CALVAS / LOJA — Parish board.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-J-11-320-4150. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL, ecuador--SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER.