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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

VILCABAMBA/VICTORIA / LOJA / LOJA — Parish board

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · VILCABAMBA/VICTORIA / LOJA / LOJA / LOJA · other · Parish boardEC-J-11-300-4235

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
VILCABAMBA/VICTORIA / LOJA / LOJA / LOJA
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-8cfdd7281bfb9c96a12de5ef
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • JUNTOS POR LOJA47.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO SOLIDEZ, ESPERANZA Y RESPETO SER26.3%
  • SOMOS EL CAMBIO22.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO4.1%
Results for event-acec69eeecb816b000659065
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
JUNTOS POR LOJA1129ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,56747.1%3Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SOLIDEZ, ESPERANZA Y RESPETO SER127ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202387626.3%1Recorded
SOMOS EL CAMBIO1442ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202375122.6%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO124ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231364.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • ALIANZA LOJA PARA TODOS25.6%
  • ALIANZA ÚNETE AL CAMBIO22.6%
  • ALIANZA LOJA PROGRESA13.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA POPULAR LATINOAMERICANAM, APLA10.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA9.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ7.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL4.9%
  • ALIANZA POR UNA LOJA DE OPORTUNIDADES3.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE ACCION REGIONAL DE EQUIDAD, ARE2.5%
Results for event-6fac5a37681578411f637e58
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA LOJA PARA TODOS566ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,38125.6%2Recorded
ALIANZA ÚNETE AL CAMBIO635ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,98422.6%2Recorded
ALIANZA LOJA PROGRESA652ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,81913.8%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA POPULAR LATINOAMERICANAM, APLA23ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,33910.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA13ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,2879.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ198ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,0487.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL148ecuador/Sed7b513864/20196434.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA POR UNA LOJA DE OPORTUNIDADES762ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193983%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE ACCION REGIONAL DE EQUIDAD, ARE2ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193302.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA POPULAR LATINOAMERICANA25.3%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO24.7%
  • ALIANZA CAMINO AL PROGRESO23.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS21.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO ACCION REGIONAL POR LA EQUIDAD3.7%
  • ALIANZA UNIDOS POR LOJA SUMAMOS1.5%
Results for event-1c1fa81dda51c419ae75ce3d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA POPULAR LATINOAMERICANA11005ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,30625.3%2Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,22024.7%1Recorded
ALIANZA CAMINO AL PROGRESO11012ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,02023.1%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,82421.6%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ACCION REGIONAL POR LA EQUIDAD11001ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144843.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA UNIDOS POR LOJA SUMAMOS11017ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142011.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-114,622
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 300,
  "cne_parish": 4235,
  "cne_province": 11,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electorate_difference": 0,
  "electors_august": 4622,
  "electors_july": 4622,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-J-11-300-4235",
  "name": "VILCABAMBA/VICTORIA / LOJA / LOJA",
  "office": "Parish board",
  "precinct_rows": [
    2208
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 35,
  "register_pdf_row": 23,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION",
  "spending_limit_usd": 4000
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “VILCABAMBA/VICTORIA / LOJA / LOJA — Parish board.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-J-11-300-4235. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL, ecuador--SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER.