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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

TAQUIL /MIGUEL RIOFRÍO / LOJA / LOJA — Parish board

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · TAQUIL /MIGUEL RIOFRÍO / LOJA / LOJA / LOJA · other · Parish boardEC-J-11-300-3970

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
TAQUIL /MIGUEL RIOFRÍO / LOJA / LOJA / LOJA
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-8aa1cc95ad563fb5039ea681
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO SOLIDEZ, ESPERANZA Y RESPETO SER32.4%
  • SOMOS EL CAMBIO30.6%
  • JUNTOS POR LOJA14.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO10.5%
  • EL RETO ES LOJA6.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO ACCION REGIONAL POR LA EQUIDAD, ARE3.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ1.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO RENOVACIÓN DEMOCRÁTICA0.9%
Results for event-df13a6835d297b3a0f06f29e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO SOLIDEZ, ESPERANZA Y RESPETO SER127ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202364432.4%2Recorded
SOMOS EL CAMBIO1442ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202360930.6%1Recorded
JUNTOS POR LOJA1129ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202327814%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO124ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202320910.5%1Recorded
EL RETO ES LOJA1074ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231356.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ACCION REGIONAL POR LA EQUIDAD, ARE33ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023663.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ157ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023311.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO RENOVACIÓN DEMOCRÁTICA114ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023170.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ28.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO RENOVACION DEMOCRATICA19.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA18.8%
  • ALIANZA LOJA PROGRESA12.0%
  • ALIANZA ÚNETE AL CAMBIO11.2%
  • ALIANZA POR UNA LOJA DE OPORTUNIDADES4.0%
  • ALIANZA LOJA PARA TODOS3.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA POPULAR LATINOAMERICANAM, APLA2.7%
Results for event-c47f0db3a7c1b8f0563c70b6
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ198ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,04528.1%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO RENOVACION DEMOCRATICA177ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,40719.4%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA13ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,36818.8%1Recorded
ALIANZA LOJA PROGRESA652ecuador/Sed7b513864/201987312%1Recorded
ALIANZA ÚNETE AL CAMBIO635ecuador/Sed7b513864/201981711.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA POR UNA LOJA DE OPORTUNIDADES762ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192944%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA LOJA PARA TODOS566ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192713.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA POPULAR LATINOAMERICANAM, APLA23ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191952.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS34.8%
  • ALIANZA UNIDOS POR LOJA SUMAMOS22.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO ACCION REGIONAL POR LA EQUIDAD21.7%
  • ALIANZA CAMINO AL PROGRESO15.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA POPULAR LATINOAMERICANA5.1%
Results for event-99f3820b77de2ef14df4015b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,51434.8%2Recorded
ALIANZA UNIDOS POR LOJA SUMAMOS11017ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,63022.6%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ACCION REGIONAL POR LA EQUIDAD11001ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,56621.7%1Recorded
ALIANZA CAMINO AL PROGRESO11012ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,15115.9%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA POPULAR LATINOAMERICANA11005ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143655.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-112,658
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 300,
  "cne_parish": 3970,
  "cne_province": 11,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electorate_difference": 0,
  "electors_august": 2658,
  "electors_july": 2658,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-J-11-300-3970",
  "name": "TAQUIL /MIGUEL RIOFRÍO / LOJA / LOJA",
  "office": "Parish board",
  "precinct_rows": [
    2187,
    2207
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 35,
  "register_pdf_row": 22,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION",
  "spending_limit_usd": 4000
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “TAQUIL /MIGUEL RIOFRÍO / LOJA / LOJA — Parish board.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-J-11-300-3970. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL, ecuador--SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER.