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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

SININCAY / CUENCA / AZUAY — Parish board

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · SININCAY / CUENCA / AZUAY / AZUAY · other · Parish boardEC-J-1-260-3870

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SININCAY / CUENCA / AZUAY / AZUAY
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-6c3b4a37c2d89997ddcddab2
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • AZUAY YA23.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA23.4%
  • AZUAY PRIMERO17.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO NUEVA GENERACIÓN14.4%
  • ¡ATREVETE! JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO13.1%
  • AZUAY LIBRE7.3%
Results for event-728000fd94a06dfb38ece191
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
AZUAY YA1115ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,35923.9%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,32923.4%1Recorded
AZUAY PRIMERO1063ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,01517.9%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO NUEVA GENERACIÓN215ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202381814.4%1Recorded
¡ATREVETE! JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO1430ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202374713.1%1Recorded
AZUAY LIBRE1017ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20234167.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • ALIANZA IGUALDAD-CREO27.0%
  • ALIANZA JUNTOS POR EL FUTURO25.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO CIUDADANO RENACE18.6%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO15.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO CONTIGO14.3%
Results for event-01e7e486518d6eca4e39429c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA IGUALDAD-CREO560ecuador/Sed7b513864/20197,23727%1Recorded
ALIANZA JUNTOS POR EL FUTURO556ecuador/Sed7b513864/20196,70625%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CIUDADANO RENACE267ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,99018.6%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO3ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,03615.1%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CONTIGO139ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,84514.3%1Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • ALIANZA "PARTICIPA CON IGUALDAD" LISTAS 62-8244.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS37.3%
  • PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO9.6%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"8.9%
Results for event-bd94a0f306a0644c906cc05a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA "PARTICIPA CON IGUALDAD" LISTAS 62-821008ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201411,43444.2%3Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20149,64337.3%2Recorded
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,4719.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"4ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,2998.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1110,124
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 260,
  "cne_parish": 3870,
  "cne_province": 1,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electorate_difference": 0,
  "electors_august": 10124,
  "electors_july": 10124,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-J-1-260-3870",
  "name": "SININCAY / CUENCA / AZUAY",
  "office": "Parish board",
  "precinct_rows": [
    134,
    135,
    136,
    137,
    138
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 26,
  "register_pdf_row": 9,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION",
  "spending_limit_usd": 6074.4
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “SININCAY / CUENCA / AZUAY — Parish board.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-J-1-260-3870. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL, ecuador--SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER.