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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

MOLLETURO / CUENCA / AZUAY — Parish board

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · MOLLETURO / CUENCA / AZUAY / AZUAY · other · Parish boardEC-J-1-260-2430

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
MOLLETURO / CUENCA / AZUAY / AZUAY
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-d8b0e1f8d41279705873a183
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ¡ATREVETE! JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO31.9%
  • RENACE - PSE18.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO NUEVA GENERACIÓN18.4%
  • HAGÁMOSLO CON SHUNGO12.7%
  • AZUAY LIBRE4.8%
  • AZUAY YA4.5%
  • PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR4.2%
  • CONTIGO AVANZA CUENCA Y EL AZUAY2.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO JUNTOS POR EL DESARROLLO DE MOLLETURO2.1%
Results for event-eff098964f29419814f65f95
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
¡ATREVETE! JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO1430ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,10531.9%2Recorded
RENACE - PSE1404ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202364218.5%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO NUEVA GENERACIÓN215ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202363718.4%1Recorded
HAGÁMOSLO CON SHUNGO1359ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202344012.7%1Recorded
AZUAY LIBRE1017ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231684.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
AZUAY YA1115ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231574.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231474.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONTIGO AVANZA CUENCA Y EL AZUAY1389ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023962.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO JUNTOS POR EL DESARROLLO DE MOLLETURO138ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023732.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK14.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO CIUDADANO RENACE12.3%
  • ALIANZA UNIDAD POR MOLLETURO PRIMERO11.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ10.7%
  • ALIANZA JUNTOS POR EL FUTURO10.2%
  • ALIANZA IGUALDAD-CREO8.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL8.3%
  • ALIANZA JUSTICIA CON CONCIENCIA CIUDADANA7.3%
  • PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA5.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP3.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO CONTIGO3.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO JUNTOS POR EL DESARROLLO DE MOLLETURO2.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO2.2%
Results for event-32c957456bb8a46d74ec3ef4
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK12ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,21214.5%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CIUDADANO RENACE267ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,86512.3%1Recorded
ALIANZA UNIDAD POR MOLLETURO PRIMERO575ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,76011.6%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ198ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,62810.7%1Recorded
ALIANZA JUNTOS POR EL FUTURO556ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,55510.2%1Recorded
ALIANZA IGUALDAD-CREO560ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,3138.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL148ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,2668.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA JUSTICIA CON CONCIENCIA CIUDADANA750ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,1077.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA25ecuador/Sed7b513864/20197665%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP235ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195373.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CONTIGO139ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194713.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO JUNTOS POR EL DESARROLLO DE MOLLETURO138ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194102.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO219ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193282.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • ALIANZA MPD 15 - PSP 335.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS31.4%
  • ALIANZA "PARTICIPA CON IGUALDAD" LISTAS 62-8220.7%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA12.0%
Results for event-76a718e0fe2b72c471fa7da6
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA MPD 15 - PSP 31007ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20145,88935.9%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20145,16431.4%2Recorded
ALIANZA "PARTICIPA CON IGUALDAD" LISTAS 62-821008ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,39720.7%1Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,97112%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-115,994
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 260,
  "cne_parish": 2430,
  "cne_province": 1,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electorate_difference": 0,
  "electors_august": 5994,
  "electors_july": 5994,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-J-1-260-2430",
  "name": "MOLLETURO / CUENCA / AZUAY",
  "office": "Parish board",
  "precinct_rows": [
    77,
    78,
    79,
    80,
    81,
    82,
    83,
    84,
    85,
    86
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 25,
  "register_pdf_row": 17,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION",
  "spending_limit_usd": 4000
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “MOLLETURO / CUENCA / AZUAY — Parish board.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-J-1-260-2430. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL, ecuador--SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER.