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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

CORONEL MARCELINO MARIDUEÑA / GUAYAS — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · CORONEL MARCELINO MARIDUEÑA / GUAYAS / GUAYAS · municipal · Municipal councilEC-C-9-890

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
CORONEL MARCELINO MARIDUEÑA / GUAYAS / GUAYAS
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-c4f9da298c16e2c62e5ed6b8
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PSC-MADERA DE GUERRERO48.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA38.6%
  • 1-337.8%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO5.5%
Results for event-155fd4c5597cd0ac20e0155c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PSC-MADERA DE GUERRERO1167ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,84948.1%3Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,08738.6%2Recorded
1-331440ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20236287.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO34ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20234365.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • 6-MADERA DE GUERRERO31.1%
  • ALIANZA CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - ECUATORIANO UNIDO Y PAIS15.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS12.1%
  • UNION ECUATORIANA8.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES6.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA5.8%
  • IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA4.3%
  • UNIDAD POPULAR2.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ2.7%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO2.6%
  • FUERZA.EC2.0%
  • PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE2.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION1.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP1.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO SALUD Y TRABAJO1.2%
Results for event-57c07e1ff8ad4086bbcadeca
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
6-MADERA DE GUERRERO534ecuador/Sed7b513864/20199,37231.1%3Recorded
ALIANZA CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - ECUATORIANO UNIDO Y PAIS689ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,66015.4%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS142ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,64912.1%1Recorded
UNION ECUATORIANA51ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,6798.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES22ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,8346.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA37ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,7645.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA152ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,2934.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDAD POPULAR143ecuador/Sed7b513864/20198362.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ198ecuador/Sed7b513864/20198052.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO8ecuador/Sed7b513864/20197932.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FUERZA.EC146ecuador/Sed7b513864/20196102%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE158ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195982%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION18ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195061.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP235ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194231.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SALUD Y TRABAJO24ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193481.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • ALIANZA PAIS Y MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO27.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO SUMA21.7%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA13.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK10.0%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"5.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO4.9%
  • PARTIDO RENOVADOR INSTITUCIONAL ACCION NACIONAL4.7%
  • 6-MADERA DE GUERRERO3.8%
  • PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO3.8%
  • PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO2.5%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO2.4%
Results for event-645675a3ea823df0c5db9a41
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA PAIS Y MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO9017ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20148,59327.3%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUMA13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20146,83221.7%2Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144,31213.7%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK5ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,16710%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"4ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,6185.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,5314.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO RENOVADOR INSTITUCIONAL ACCION NACIONAL9ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,4964.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
6-MADERA DE GUERRERO9013ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,2033.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,1993.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO1ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20148002.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20147702.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1111,036
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 890,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 9,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 11036,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-C-9-890",
  "name": "CORONEL MARCELINO MARIDUEÑA / GUAYAS",
  "office": "Municipal council",
  "precinct_rows": [
    1463,
    1464,
    1577
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “CORONEL MARCELINO MARIDUEÑA / GUAYAS — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-C-9-890. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.