Office briefing
SANTA LUCÍA / GUAYAS — Municipal council
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Ecuador · SANTA LUCÍA / GUAYAS / GUAYAS · municipal · Municipal councilEC-C-9-870
Read the complete original research briefing
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- SANTA LUCÍA / GUAYAS / GUAYAS
- Next election
- 2026-11-29
- Linked upcoming event
- next-963fe98399ae0d1df5737283
- Registry qualification
- Qualified in source register
2. How certain is that date?
2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-02-05
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PSC-MADERA DE GUERRERO25.3%
- POR EL BIENESTAR DE LOS LUCIANOS19.5%
- PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMA17.1%
- MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO RENOVACIÓN11.0%
- ALIANZA DEL FUTURO10.5%
- PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO9.7%
- MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES4.7%
- ALIANZA SANTA LUCIA2.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSC-MADERA DE GUERRERO | 1167ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 5,602 | 25.3% | 1 | Recorded |
| POR EL BIENESTAR DE LOS LUCIANOS | 1235ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 4,326 | 19.5% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMA | 42ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 3,780 | 17.1% | 1 | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO RENOVACIÓN | 246ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 2,438 | 11% | 1 | Recorded |
| ALIANZA DEL FUTURO | 1350ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 2,315 | 10.5% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO | 34ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 2,149 | 9.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES | 99ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 1,048 | 4.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA SANTA LUCIA | 1423ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 487 | 2.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-03-24
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks
- 6-MADERA DE GUERRERO30.5%
- MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA26.5%
- MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL15.1%
- FUERZA.EC7.2%
- MINGA POR SANTA LUCIA6.8%
- MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL6.1%
- MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ2.5%
- ALIANZA CREO - ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE1.4%
- MOVIMIENTO SALUD Y TRABAJO1.4%
- MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS1.4%
- UNIDAD POPULAR1.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6-MADERA DE GUERRERO | 534ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 23,568 | 30.5% | 2 | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA | 13ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 20,462 | 26.5% | 2 | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL | 170ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 11,661 | 15.1% | 1 | Recorded |
| FUERZA.EC | 146ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 5,605 | 7.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MINGA POR SANTA LUCIA | 692ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 5,253 | 6.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL | 148ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 4,689 | 6.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ | 198ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,962 | 2.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA CREO - ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE | 589ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,087 | 1.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO SALUD Y TRABAJO | 24ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,080 | 1.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS | 142ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,063 | 1.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNIDAD POPULAR | 143ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 901 | 1.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2014-02-23
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks
- MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS57.9%
- ALIANZA PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA LISTA 3, PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO LISTA 6 Y EL MOVIMIENTO MADERA DE GUERRERO LISTA 7526.0%
- PARTIDO AVANZA4.1%
- MOVIMIENTO CREO3.5%
- PARTIDO RENOVADOR INSTITUCIONAL ACCION NACIONAL3.2%
- PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO2.0%
- PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO2.0%
- PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO1.3%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS | 3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 47,422 | 57.9% | 4 | Recorded |
| ALIANZA PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA LISTA 3, PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO LISTA 6 Y EL MOVIMIENTO MADERA DE GUERRERO LISTA 75 | 9018ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 21,252 | 26% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO AVANZA | 6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 3,369 | 4.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CREO | 8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 2,885 | 3.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO RENOVADOR INSTITUCIONAL ACCION NACIONAL | 9ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 2,653 | 3.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO | 10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 1,611 | 2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO | 1ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 1,600 | 2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO | 2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 1,099 | 1.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
WithheldUnknown0–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
Electoral register observations
Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.
| As of | Electors | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | 34,974 | Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.{
"call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"cne_canton": 870,
"cne_parish": null,
"cne_province": 9,
"election_date": "2026-11-29",
"electors_august": 34974,
"jurisdiction_id": "EC-C-9-870",
"name": "SANTA LUCÍA / GUAYAS",
"office": "Municipal council",
"precinct_rows": [
1366,
1460,
1461,
1462,
1529,
1860,
1861
],
"record_type": "official_electoral_register",
"register_pdf_page": 7,
"register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"snapshot": "2026-08-11",
"source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
} |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.
Sources
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-electorales-2023/?wpdmdl=39834 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019/?wpdmdl=20971 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-a-nivel-parroquial-2014/?wpdmdl=21133 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/distributivos-de-electores-2027/ · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2023.zip · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2023.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2014.sav · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2014.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE 2027 precinct and electorate distribution, cutoff 11 August 2026 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-1-31-7-2026: ordinary election call for 29 November 2026 · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “SANTA LUCÍA / GUAYAS — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-C-9-870. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.