Office briefing

DURÁN / GUAYAS — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · DURÁN / GUAYAS / GUAYAS · municipal · Municipal councilEC-C-9-820

Read the complete original research briefing

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography: DURÁN / GUAYAS / GUAYAS
Next election: 2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event: next-19f0277c798aa5bad823ecd5
Registry qualification: Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

CHONILLO ¡AHORA SI! 15029.8%
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA28.8%
PSC-MADERA DE GUERRERO22.1%
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES5.1%
CAMBIEMOS LA HISTORIA4.9%
CENTRO DEMOCRATICO NACIONAL - IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA4.4%
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMA1.8%
PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR1.4%
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ0.9%
MOVIMIENTO LUIS RODAS TORAL0.7%

Results for event-49f68c0f7316d3a0f7b444cc
Label / candidate	Party code	Votes	Share	Seats	Status
CHONILLO ¡AHORA SI! 150	1128ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	39,008	29.8%	4	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA	207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	37,772	28.8%	4	Recorded
PSC-MADERA DE GUERRERO	1167ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	28,989	22.1%	3	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES	99ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	6,735	5.1%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
CAMBIEMOS LA HISTORIA	1159ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	6,436	4.9%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
CENTRO DEMOCRATICO NACIONAL - IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA	1481ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	5,799	4.4%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMA	42ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	2,407	1.8%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR	231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	1,865	1.4%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ	157ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	1,137	0.9%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO LUIS RODAS TORAL	103ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	920	0.7%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

6-MADERA DE GUERRERO32.5%
MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL22.1%
CENTRO DEMOCRATICO16.9%
CREO - FE - MST5.2%
MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO3.7%
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA2.3%
MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS2.2%
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE1.9%
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO DURÁN PUEDE MÁS1.6%
MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA1.6%
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK1.3%
MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL1.3%
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO1.0%
IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA0.9%
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO0.9%
MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP0.9%
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ0.9%
UNIDAD POPULAR0.8%
MOVIMIENTO LUIS RODAS TORAL0.8%
MOVIMIENTO EMERGENTE DE TRANSPARENCIA Y ACCION (META)0.6%
UNION ECUATORIANA0.5%
MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION0.3%

Results for event-6e72884aed7905e9d9512c2f
Label / candidate	Party code	Votes	Share	Seats	Status
6-MADERA DE GUERRERO	534ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	177,601	32.5%	6	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL	148ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	121,008	22.1%	3	Recorded
CENTRO DEMOCRATICO	145ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	92,230	16.9%	2	Recorded
CREO - FE - MST	606ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	28,350	5.2%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO	219ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	20,501	3.7%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA	13ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	12,405	2.3%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS	142ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	11,883	2.2%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE	158ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	10,305	1.9%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO DURÁN PUEDE MÁS	211ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	9,012	1.6%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA	37ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	8,602	1.6%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK	12ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	7,211	1.3%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL	170ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	7,051	1.3%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO	3ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	5,349	1%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA	152ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	4,898	0.9%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO	8ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	4,873	0.9%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP	235ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	4,684	0.9%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ	198ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	4,673	0.9%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
UNIDAD POPULAR	143ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	4,512	0.8%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO LUIS RODAS TORAL	27ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	4,223	0.8%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO EMERGENTE DE TRANSPARENCIA Y ACCION (META)	50ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	3,185	0.6%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
UNION ECUATORIANA	51ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	2,976	0.5%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION	18ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	1,699	0.3%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

ALIANZA PAIS Y MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO53.2%
6-MADERA DE GUERRERO34.4%
MOVIMIENTO CREO4.0%
PARTIDO AVANZA3.3%
MOVIMIENTO LUIS RODAS TORAL1.0%
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO0.9%
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"0.9%
MOVIMIENTO SUMA0.8%
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO0.7%
PARTIDO RENOVADOR INSTITUCIONAL ACCION NACIONAL0.7%

Results for event-f19272852fa72f2f75ddaefc
Label / candidate	Party code	Votes	Share	Seats	Status
ALIANZA PAIS Y MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO	9017ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	303,698	53.2%	7	Recorded
6-MADERA DE GUERRERO	9013ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	196,573	34.4%	4	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO	8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	23,053	4%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA	6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	18,872	3.3%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO LUIS RODAS TORAL	9003ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	5,901	1%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO	2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	5,007	0.9%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"	4ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	4,884	0.9%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUMA	13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	4,817	0.8%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO	10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	4,129	0.7%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
PARTIDO RENOVADOR INSTITUCIONAL ACCION NACIONAL	9ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	3,716	0.7%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

As of

Electors

Notes

2026-08-11

194,139

Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.

{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 820,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 9,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 194139,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-C-9-820",
  "name": "DURÁN / GUAYAS",
  "office": "Municipal council",
  "precinct_rows": [
    1362,
    1363,
    1364,
    1365,
    1374,
    1375,
    1376,
    1377,
    1378,
    1379,
    1447,
    1448,
    1449,
    1450,
    1451,
    1452,
    1453,
    1454,
    1455,
    1456,
    1457,
    1476,
    1477,
    1478,
    1479,
    1480,
    1641,
    1904,
    1905,
    1906,
    1908,
    1909,
    1917
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

Sources

Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-electorales-2023/?wpdmdl=39834 · rights unknown
Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019/?wpdmdl=20971 · rights unknown
Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-a-nivel-parroquial-2014/?wpdmdl=21133 · rights unknown
Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/distributivos-de-electores-2027/ · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2023.zip · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2023.dat · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019.dat · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2019.dat · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2014.sav · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2014.dat · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE 2027 precinct and electorate distribution, cutoff 11 August 2026 · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-1-31-7-2026: ordinary election call for 29 November 2026 · rights unknown

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “DURÁN / GUAYAS — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-C-9-820. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.