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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

DAULE / GUAYAS — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · DAULE / GUAYAS / GUAYAS · municipal · Municipal councilEC-C-9-400

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
DAULE / GUAYAS / GUAYAS
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-169bc736eaffe63eb75af367
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PSC-MADERA DE GUERRERO37.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA26.2%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO17.7%
  • VAMOS DAULE 21 - 338.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO4.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK2.9%
  • PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR2.5%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO0.5%
Results for event-3db81196de736e8c4f0d6215
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PSC-MADERA DE GUERRERO1167ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202333,40537%4Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202323,59026.2%3Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO34ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202315,94517.7%1Recorded
VAMOS DAULE 21 - 331234ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20238,0028.9%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO124ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,9184.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,6232.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,2282.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO39ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20234510.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • 6-MADERA DE GUERRERO35.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS10.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL10.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA7.3%
  • CREO - MST6.8%
  • FUERZA.EC5.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA4.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO3.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL3.2%
  • CENTRO DEMOCRATICO2.7%
  • PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE2.5%
  • UNIDAD POPULAR2.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ2.0%
  • IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA1.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP1.0%
  • UNION ECUATORIANA0.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK0.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO EMERGENTE DE TRANSPARENCIA Y ACCION (META)0.8%
Results for event-d9d948dc461e7b3c2758dd14
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
6-MADERA DE GUERRERO534ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019125,95135.6%7Recorded
MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS142ecuador/Sed7b513864/201936,12610.2%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL148ecuador/Sed7b513864/201935,42810%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA13ecuador/Sed7b513864/201925,7867.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CREO - MST591ecuador/Sed7b513864/201924,1706.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FUERZA.EC146ecuador/Sed7b513864/201918,2615.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA37ecuador/Sed7b513864/201915,3534.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO219ecuador/Sed7b513864/201911,4913.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL170ecuador/Sed7b513864/201911,3983.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CENTRO DEMOCRATICO145ecuador/Sed7b513864/20199,6022.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE158ecuador/Sed7b513864/20198,8892.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDAD POPULAR143ecuador/Sed7b513864/20197,5432.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ198ecuador/Sed7b513864/20197,0362%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA152ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,6681.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP235ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,5971%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION ECUATORIANA51ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,2300.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK12ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,8320.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO EMERGENTE DE TRANSPARENCIA Y ACCION (META)50ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,7380.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • ALIANZA PAIS Y MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO43.8%
  • 6-MADERA DE GUERRERO39.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO3.7%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA3.0%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"2.9%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO2.9%
  • PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO2.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO SUMA0.9%
  • PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO0.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK0.0%
Results for event-18b38742f363ead8b3e43e98
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA PAIS Y MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO9017ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014144,38743.8%5Recorded
6-MADERA DE GUERRERO9013ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014131,26139.8%4Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201412,3353.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20149,9583%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"4ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20149,5602.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20149,4402.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20146,5322%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUMA13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,0510.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO1ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,7960.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK5ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014950%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-11149,277
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 400,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 9,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 149277,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-C-9-400",
  "name": "DAULE / GUAYAS",
  "office": "Municipal council",
  "precinct_rows": [
    1368,
    1509,
    1510,
    1511,
    1512,
    1513,
    1514,
    1534,
    1535,
    1536,
    1633,
    1634,
    1635,
    1636,
    1921,
    1922,
    1923,
    1924,
    1925,
    1926,
    1927,
    1928
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “DAULE / GUAYAS — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-C-9-400. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.