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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

SAN LORENZO / ESMERALDAS — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · SAN LORENZO / ESMERALDAS / ESMERALDAS · municipal · Municipal councilEC-C-8-580

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SAN LORENZO / ESMERALDAS / ESMERALDAS
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-c11fd27b578bbff66adb0aa6
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • UNION POR LA REVOLUCION CIUDADANA44.8%
  • PSC-PID-PSP LISTA 6-4-321.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES19.5%
  • PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR13.8%
Results for event-259d64a6b6d8a030d06c8a68
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNION POR LA REVOLUCION CIUDADANA1270ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20239,43544.8%2Recorded
PSC-PID-PSP LISTA 6-4-31006ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20234,60321.9%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES99ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20234,11119.5%1Recorded
PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,89513.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ30.9%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO28.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA19.8%
  • UNIDAD POPULAR13.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA3.5%
  • FUERZA.EC2.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES1.3%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO0.6%
Results for event-5110eb90f1c74da15d4a998c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ198ecuador/Sed7b513864/201911,93130.9%2Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO1ecuador/Sed7b513864/201910,87028.1%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA13ecuador/Sed7b513864/20197,66619.8%1Recorded
UNIDAD POPULAR143ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195,20913.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA37ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,3563.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FUERZA.EC146ecuador/Sed7b513864/20198942.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES22ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194851.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO8ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192300.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS35.2%
  • PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO29.3%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA19.0%
  • PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO10.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO3.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO1.6%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO1.1%
Results for event-82b94091c23e2031317bede1
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201411,04335.2%2Recorded
PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO1ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20149,20029.3%2Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20145,96919%1Recorded
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,21910.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,1073.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO8001ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20145091.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143411.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1135,122
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 580,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 8,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 35122,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-C-8-580",
  "name": "SAN LORENZO / ESMERALDAS",
  "office": "Municipal council",
  "precinct_rows": [
    1131,
    1160,
    1161,
    1176,
    1184,
    1221,
    1222,
    1223,
    1224,
    1225,
    1256,
    1263,
    1264,
    1265,
    1266,
    1267,
    1268,
    1269,
    1270,
    1271,
    1272,
    1289,
    1293,
    1295,
    1296,
    1320,
    1321,
    1332,
    1333,
    1334,
    1341
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “SAN LORENZO / ESMERALDAS — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-C-8-580. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.