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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

QUININDÉ / ESMERALDAS — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · QUININDÉ / ESMERALDAS / ESMERALDAS · municipal · Municipal councilEC-C-8-575

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
QUININDÉ / ESMERALDAS / ESMERALDAS
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-e860094d7a0207b1ed3ee086
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • UNION POR LA REVOLUCION CIUDADANA37.4%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO25.7%
  • SOMOS QUININDE, LISTAS 1 - 1219.4%
  • ESMERALDAS, ES PRIMERO11.2%
  • PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR4.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK1.7%
Results for event-683529fc4090999d9bab4c0a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNION POR LA REVOLUCION CIUDADANA1270ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202322,41737.4%4Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO32ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202315,41625.7%2Recorded
SOMOS QUININDE, LISTAS 1 - 121300ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202311,60619.4%2Recorded
ESMERALDAS, ES PRIMERO1178ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20236,72811.2%1Recorded
PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,6774.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,0341.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO29.6%
  • UNIDAD POPULAR21.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ21.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA6.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL5.2%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO3.1%
  • UNION ECUATORIANA2.9%
  • PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA2.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES2.7%
  • FUERZA.EC2.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP1.9%
Results for event-fe733c19c78b001d32e62281
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO1ecuador/Sed7b513864/201954,87729.6%4Recorded
UNIDAD POPULAR143ecuador/Sed7b513864/201940,48721.8%3Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ198ecuador/Sed7b513864/201939,88921.5%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA13ecuador/Sed7b513864/201911,6296.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL170ecuador/Sed7b513864/20199,7095.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO3ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195,6943.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION ECUATORIANA51ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195,3602.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA25ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195,0162.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES22ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,9962.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FUERZA.EC146ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,4672.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP235ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,4701.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS37.9%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA31.7%
  • PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO14.6%
  • PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO6.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO4.3%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO2.2%
  • PARTIDO RENOVADOR INSTITUCIONAL ACCION NACIONAL1.6%
  • ALIANZA UNIDOS POR ESMERALDAS1.1%
Results for event-b9287ed01c19f1c0fb99bdb1
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201471,62737.9%5Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201459,92231.7%3Recorded
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201427,62514.6%1Recorded
PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO1ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201412,2056.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20148,0944.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144,1672.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO RENOVADOR INSTITUCIONAL ACCION NACIONAL9ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,1141.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA UNIDOS POR ESMERALDAS8004ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,0181.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-11103,253
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 575,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 8,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 103253,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-C-8-575",
  "name": "QUININDÉ / ESMERALDAS",
  "office": "Municipal council",
  "precinct_rows": [
    1144,
    1145,
    1146,
    1154,
    1157,
    1166,
    1167,
    1168,
    1169,
    1170,
    1171,
    1172,
    1173,
    1174,
    1182,
    1183,
    1185,
    1186,
    1201,
    1202,
    1203,
    1204,
    1205,
    1206,
    1207,
    1208,
    1209,
    1210,
    1211,
    1212,
    1213,
    1214,
    1215,
    1216,
    1217,
    1218,
    1219,
    1220,
    1228,
    1229,
    1232,
    1233,
    1236,
    1238,
    1241,
    1253,
    1254,
    1255,
    1257,
    1258,
    1260,
    1262,
    1291,
    1292,
    1330,
    1331,
    1340,
    1344
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “QUININDÉ / ESMERALDAS — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-C-8-575. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.