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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

ZARUMA / EL ORO — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · ZARUMA / EL ORO / EL ORO · municipal · Municipal councilEC-C-7-360

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
ZARUMA / EL ORO / EL ORO
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-db397c6d91b94f81d53b0e90
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO SUR UNIDO REGIONAL, S.U.R.29.4%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO27.9%
  • PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR17.0%
  • JUNTOS POR ZARUMA12.3%
  • JUNTOS SEGUIREMOS HACIENDO HISTORIA 5-7711.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ1.7%
Results for event-3b52c5011375f4c4bf55b6f8
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO SUR UNIDO REGIONAL, S.U.R.147ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20234,51829.4%2Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO32ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20234,28727.9%2Recorded
PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,61517%1Recorded
JUNTOS POR ZARUMA1347ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,88512.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
JUNTOS SEGUIREMOS HACIENDO HISTORIA 5-771250ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,80811.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ157ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232631.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA24.8%
  • FE MAR18.8%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO17.5%
  • UNIDAD POPULAR14.9%
  • ALIANZA PARTIDO SOCIALISTA DEMOCRACIA SI Y ALIANZA PAIS LISTA 17-20-359.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO SUR UNIDO REGIONAL8.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS4.3%
  • PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE1.5%
Results for event-26eaddbe0b195a2c8e65a99c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA25ecuador/Sed7b513864/20197,59424.8%2Recorded
FE MAR769ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195,75018.8%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO1ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195,37617.5%1Recorded
UNIDAD POPULAR143ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,58014.9%1Recorded
ALIANZA PARTIDO SOCIALISTA DEMOCRACIA SI Y ALIANZA PAIS LISTA 17-20-35708ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,8309.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUR UNIDO REGIONAL147ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,7268.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS142ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,3144.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE158ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194671.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO21.2%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA21.0%
  • PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO18.4%
  • ALIANZA PAIS-MAR17.7%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO16.2%
  • PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO3.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO1.8%
Results for event-d234a7f220dbff38cb14f4fd
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20146,00721.2%1Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20145,96121%1Recorded
PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO1ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20145,23118.4%1Recorded
ALIANZA PAIS-MAR7007ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20145,02717.7%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO11ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144,59116.2%1Recorded
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,0543.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20145041.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1122,248
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 360,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 7,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 22248,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-C-7-360",
  "name": "ZARUMA / EL ORO",
  "office": "Municipal council",
  "precinct_rows": [
    908,
    909,
    913,
    1004,
    1005,
    1006,
    1007,
    1008,
    1107,
    1108,
    1109,
    1110,
    1111,
    1112,
    1113
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “ZARUMA / EL ORO — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-C-7-360. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.