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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

SANTA ROSA / EL ORO — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · SANTA ROSA / EL ORO / EL ORO · municipal · Municipal councilEC-C-7-355

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SANTA ROSA / EL ORO / EL ORO
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-3d5f0e371b7c71cf4aed7449
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO SUR UNIDO REGIONAL, S.U.R.35.5%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO21.8%
  • UNO PUEDE12.8%
  • JUNTOS SEGUIREMOS HACIENDO HISTORIA 5-7711.9%
  • PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR4.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO AMIGO, ACCIÓN MOVILIZADORA INDEPENDIENTE GENERANDO OPORTUNIDADES4.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK3.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ3.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO CONSTRUYE2.9%
Results for event-55daf12b17f0c6dd4ef5bce2
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO SUR UNIDO REGIONAL, S.U.R.147ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202314,94035.5%3Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO32ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20239,15021.8%2Recorded
UNO PUEDE1316ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20235,38012.8%1Recorded
JUNTOS SEGUIREMOS HACIENDO HISTORIA 5-771250ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20235,00511.9%1Recorded
PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,7014%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO AMIGO, ACCIÓN MOVILIZADORA INDEPENDIENTE GENERANDO OPORTUNIDADES208ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,6914%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,6543.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ157ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,2743%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CONSTRUYE18ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,2402.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO SUR UNIDO REGIONAL15.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO SOMOS IGUALDAD, IMPULSO E INTEGRACIÓN SIII14.8%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO12.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL10.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO AUTONÓMICO REGIONAL, MAR9.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES8.9%
  • PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA7.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ3.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO LISTA 1 - PARTIDO SOCIALISTA LISTA 173.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA3.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO SEPUEDE SP2.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICIO ACCIÓN SANTARROSEÑA2.0%
  • PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE1.2%
  • UNIDAD POPULAR1.2%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO1.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK0.9%
  • UNION ECUATORIANA0.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS0.9%
Results for event-3ff9245d5a67b51e2d1a2822
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO SUR UNIDO REGIONAL147ecuador/Sed7b513864/201922,91715.2%3Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SOMOS IGUALDAD, IMPULSO E INTEGRACIÓN SIII197ecuador/Sed7b513864/201922,44514.8%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO1ecuador/Sed7b513864/201918,98812.6%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL148ecuador/Sed7b513864/201916,12210.7%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO AUTONÓMICO REGIONAL, MAR4ecuador/Sed7b513864/201914,3879.5%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES22ecuador/Sed7b513864/201913,4368.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA25ecuador/Sed7b513864/201911,8267.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ198ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,9843.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO LISTA 1 - PARTIDO SOCIALISTA LISTA 17783ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,7853.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA13ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,7763.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SEPUEDE SP222ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,9342.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICIO ACCIÓN SANTARROSEÑA234ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,9662%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE158ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,8471.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDAD POPULAR143ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,8441.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO3ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,8431.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK12ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,4000.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION ECUATORIANA51ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,3570.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS142ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,3550.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO SANTARROSEÑO UNIDO REVOLUCIONARIO34.0%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA32.4%
  • ALIANZA PAIS-MAR17.7%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO6.1%
  • PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO3.1%
  • PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO2.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO2.6%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO1.4%
Results for event-3125c31cec5f1b843a62c5e1
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO SANTARROSEÑO UNIDO REVOLUCIONARIO7002ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201454,80834%3Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201452,16832.4%2Recorded
ALIANZA PAIS-MAR7007ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201428,51117.7%2Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO11ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20149,8406.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144,9273.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO1ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144,4022.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144,1542.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,1901.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1162,204
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 355,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 7,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 62204,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-C-7-355",
  "name": "SANTA ROSA / EL ORO",
  "office": "Municipal council",
  "precinct_rows": [
    877,
    888,
    902,
    907,
    957,
    958,
    959,
    960,
    961,
    962,
    963,
    964,
    965,
    966,
    967,
    968,
    969,
    970,
    971,
    972,
    973,
    974,
    975,
    976,
    977,
    978,
    979,
    980,
    982,
    988,
    1091,
    1098,
    1099,
    1104,
    1105,
    1106
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “SANTA ROSA / EL ORO — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-C-7-355. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.