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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

GUANO / CHIMBORAZO — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · GUANO / CHIMBORAZO / CHIMBORAZO · municipal · Municipal councilEC-C-6-200

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
GUANO / CHIMBORAZO / CHIMBORAZO
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-7291e0cbb447b00d468570a3
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • CONSTRUIMOS CONTIGO27.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO AMAUTA YUYAY23.2%
  • PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA12.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO PROVINCIAL CAMBIO12.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK11.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES4.9%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO3.1%
  • SER2.6%
  • FRENTE AMPLIO2.4%
Results for event-ba0f5b4a7a41025c0151a884
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
CONSTRUIMOS CONTIGO1275ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20236,87627.6%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO AMAUTA YUYAY16ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20235,79623.2%2Recorded
PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,14912.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO PROVINCIAL CAMBIO123ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,06612.3%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,80011.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES99ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,2344.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO39ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20237623.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SER1371ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20236502.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE AMPLIO1068ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20236052.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO INTERCULTURAL DE GENTE ACTIVA (MINGA)22.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO AMAUTA YUYAY20.4%
  • ALIANZA CÓDIGO DE LA UNIDAD16.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO PROVINCIAL CAMBIO10.9%
  • ALIANZA UNIDOS POR GUANO6.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP6.5%
  • ALIANZA GUANO SE TRANSORMA5.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK5.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA3.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO COALICION DE LOS COMUNES0.8%
  • PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE0.6%
Results for event-942a17407d7036acb1c893ea
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO INTERCULTURAL DE GENTE ACTIVA (MINGA)206ecuador/Sed7b513864/201911,56422.4%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO AMAUTA YUYAY15ecuador/Sed7b513864/201910,54520.4%1Recorded
ALIANZA CÓDIGO DE LA UNIDAD577ecuador/Sed7b513864/20198,58916.6%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO PROVINCIAL CAMBIO144ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195,66210.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA UNIDOS POR GUANO728ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,4976.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP235ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,3756.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA GUANO SE TRANSORMA687ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,9905.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK12ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,8925.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA13ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,9013.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO COALICION DE LOS COMUNES247ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194020.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE158ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192940.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • ALIANZA 35-18 CHIMBORAZO33.6%
  • ALIANZA "UNIDOS POR CHIMBORAZO"18.3%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA18.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO AMAUTA YUYAY12.5%
  • ALIANZA UNIDOS POR EL CAMBIO9.9%
  • PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO7.5%
Results for event-25fca2962fb9bec6686b11eb
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA 35-18 CHIMBORAZO6009ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201415,00433.6%2Recorded
ALIANZA "UNIDOS POR CHIMBORAZO"6005ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20148,19218.3%1Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20148,13718.2%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO AMAUTA YUYAY6002ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20145,61012.5%1Recorded
ALIANZA UNIDOS POR EL CAMBIO6011ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144,4169.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,3597.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1138,564
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 200,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 6,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 38564,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-C-6-200",
  "name": "GUANO / CHIMBORAZO",
  "office": "Municipal council",
  "precinct_rows": [
    729,
    730,
    731,
    732,
    733,
    734,
    735,
    736,
    737,
    738,
    739,
    826,
    833,
    845,
    857,
    858,
    859,
    860
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “GUANO / CHIMBORAZO — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-C-6-200. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.