Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

PANGUA / COTOPAXI — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · PANGUA / COTOPAXI / COTOPAXI · municipal · Municipal councilEC-C-5-120

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
PANGUA / COTOPAXI / COTOPAXI
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-0ba401c9a45fc6692627ea3d
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • UNIDAD PROGRESO Y BIENESTAR25.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA24.8%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO16.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK16.3%
  • UNIDAD SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA9.4%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMA7.6%
Results for event-8b3abaf2bb9e7f32734947db
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNIDAD PROGRESO Y BIENESTAR1317ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,37525%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,34424.8%2Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO32ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,28416.9%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,20416.3%1Recorded
UNIDAD SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA1271ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,2749.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMA42ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,0257.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA27.0%
  • ALIANZA UNIDAD POR COTOPAXI19.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO INCLUYENTE, FRENTE POLÍTICO PROVINCIAL11.6%
  • ALIANZA UNIDAD CIUDADANA PANGUENSE LISTA 17/3511.4%
  • CENTRO DEMOCRATICO10.0%
  • ALIANZA AVANZA 8 - PSC 67.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES5.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ4.0%
  • ALIANZA UNIDOS POR PANGUA2.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP1.5%
Results for event-749cd30912616961d8701b3b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA37ecuador/Sed7b513864/20197,65527%2Recorded
ALIANZA UNIDAD POR COTOPAXI511ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195,45119.2%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO INCLUYENTE, FRENTE POLÍTICO PROVINCIAL172ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,28111.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA UNIDAD CIUDADANA PANGUENSE LISTA 17/35727ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,24311.4%1Recorded
CENTRO DEMOCRATICO145ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,82610%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA AVANZA 8 - PSC 6506ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,2107.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES22ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,4945.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ198ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,1394%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA UNIDOS POR PANGUA656ecuador/Sed7b513864/20196452.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP235ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194211.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS42.2%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA27.0%
  • UNIDAD DE LA IZQUIERDA - COTOPAXI MPD LISTA 15 - PACHAKUTIK LISTA 1815.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO ORGANIZACIÓN PROGRESISTA CIUDADANA7.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO4.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO SUMA3.3%
Results for event-8b19de4ed197a063aa0e4265
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20148,89842.2%4Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20145,68327%1Recorded
UNIDAD DE LA IZQUIERDA - COTOPAXI MPD LISTA 15 - PACHAKUTIK LISTA 185005ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,17915.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO ORGANIZACIÓN PROGRESISTA CIUDADANA5004ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,6517.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20149734.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUMA13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20146983.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1119,576
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 120,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 5,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 19576,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-C-5-120",
  "name": "PANGUA / COTOPAXI",
  "office": "Municipal council",
  "precinct_rows": [
    582,
    583,
    584,
    646,
    657,
    658,
    659,
    660,
    661,
    662,
    663,
    664,
    718,
    719
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “PANGUA / COTOPAXI — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-C-5-120. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.