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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

LA TRONCAL / CAÑAR — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · LA TRONCAL / CAÑAR / CAÑAR · municipal · Municipal councilEC-C-3-250

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
LA TRONCAL / CAÑAR / CAÑAR
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-395d18f6435954f0d61fdabc
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • CAÑAR EMPRENDE 5-1734.5%
  • PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR24.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES14.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO IGUALDAD DEMOCRACIA PID8.0%
  • TRONCALEÑOS UNIDOS POR EL CAMBIO7.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK5.7%
  • UNIDOS POR CAÑAR4.1%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO1.2%
Results for event-ec0f1d6b5a2af45fb130e660
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
CAÑAR EMPRENDE 5-171306ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202310,15834.5%3Recorded
PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20237,09524.1%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES99ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20234,30914.6%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO IGUALDAD DEMOCRACIA PID222ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,3688%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
TRONCALEÑOS UNIDOS POR EL CAMBIO1123ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,2577.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,6885.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDOS POR CAÑAR1153ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,2204.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO34ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233531.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES17.3%
  • UNIDAD POPULAR14.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL10.9%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO8.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL8.5%
  • LA TRONCAL EMPRENDE7.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION6.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO ACCION SOLIDARIA LA TRONCAL5.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP5.1%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO4.6%
  • CENTRO DEMOCRATICO4.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK3.6%
  • UNION ECUATORIANA2.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO REIVINDICACION TRONCALEÑA1.9%
Results for event-311312d9e975c7e4ecf82636
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES22ecuador/Sed7b513864/201919,19617.3%3Recorded
UNIDAD POPULAR143ecuador/Sed7b513864/201915,67414.2%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL148ecuador/Sed7b513864/201912,01810.9%2Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO1ecuador/Sed7b513864/20199,7578.8%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL170ecuador/Sed7b513864/20199,3918.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
LA TRONCAL EMPRENDE696ecuador/Sed7b513864/20197,7847%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION18ecuador/Sed7b513864/20197,1976.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ACCION SOLIDARIA LA TRONCAL263ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195,8355.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP235ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195,6885.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO3ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195,0524.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CENTRO DEMOCRATICO145ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,3794%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK12ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,0153.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION ECUATORIANA51ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,5942.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO REIVINDICACION TRONCALEÑA46ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,0721.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS32.8%
  • ALIANZA CREO - PSP19.3%
  • ALIANZA AVANZA - SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO16.9%
  • PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO13.5%
  • PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO7.7%
  • PARTIDO RENOVADOR INSTITUCIONAL ACCION NACIONAL5.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO SUMA4.4%
Results for event-84a79f4202d0c4e3919241e5
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201431,87532.8%3Recorded
ALIANZA CREO - PSP3002ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201418,78319.3%2Recorded
ALIANZA AVANZA - SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO3001ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201416,39516.9%1Recorded
PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO1ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201413,07513.5%1Recorded
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20147,4837.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO RENOVADOR INSTITUCIONAL ACCION NACIONAL9ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20145,2455.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUMA13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144,2424.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1143,324
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 250,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 3,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 43324,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-C-3-250",
  "name": "LA TRONCAL / CAÑAR",
  "office": "Municipal council",
  "precinct_rows": [
    371,
    418,
    419,
    423,
    424,
    426,
    432,
    446,
    447,
    448,
    449,
    450,
    451,
    452,
    453,
    454,
    455,
    456,
    457,
    458,
    459
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “LA TRONCAL / CAÑAR — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-C-3-250. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.