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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

FCO.DE ORELLANA / ORELLANA — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · FCO.DE ORELLANA / ORELLANA / ORELLANA · municipal · Municipal councilEC-C-22-645

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
FCO.DE ORELLANA / ORELLANA / ORELLANA
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-a22f5fe2b89de839ef95a33e
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA DE LA RENOVACION25.4%
  • UNIDAD ORELLANENSE21.5%
  • ALIANZA GESTIÓN Y DESARROLLO18.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO11.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA11.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO DEL PUEBLO6.7%
  • ALIANZA UNIDAD AMAZÓNICA5.0%
Results for event-4e0dc196f410642c08af5441
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA DE LA RENOVACION1025ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202311,81425.4%2Recorded
UNIDAD ORELLANENSE1003ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20239,96421.5%2Recorded
ALIANZA GESTIÓN Y DESARROLLO1030ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20238,53718.4%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO124ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20235,48011.8%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20235,20911.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DEL PUEBLO19ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,1026.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA UNIDAD AMAZÓNICA1069ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,3285%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • ALIANZA ORELLANA31.5%
  • ALIANZA MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK LISTA 18 MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO LISTA 4 PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO LISTA 625.6%
  • ALIANZA AVANZAMOS JUNTOS14.6%
  • ALIANZA VAMOS POR EL CAMBIO12.0%
  • ALIANZA SI PODEMOS CON FE6.3%
  • IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA4.0%
  • CENTRO DEMOCRATICO2.6%
  • PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE1.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL1.4%
Results for event-949f99556d1d14b9d416a877
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA ORELLANA502ecuador/Sed7b513864/201938,59531.5%4Recorded
ALIANZA MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK LISTA 18 MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO LISTA 4 PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO LISTA 6582ecuador/Sed7b513864/201931,39925.6%2Recorded
ALIANZA AVANZAMOS JUNTOS574ecuador/Sed7b513864/201917,92514.6%1Recorded
ALIANZA VAMOS POR EL CAMBIO586ecuador/Sed7b513864/201914,74812%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA SI PODEMOS CON FE801ecuador/Sed7b513864/20197,6986.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA152ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,9404%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CENTRO DEMOCRATICO145ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,1482.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE158ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,3761.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL170ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,7161.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • ALIANZA 35-6234.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK32.4%
  • DESPIERTA ORELLANA21.7%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"7.2%
  • PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO4.3%
Results for event-13e8cdf566f57522a3740596
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA 35-6222015ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201437,44034.3%3Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK5ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201435,35432.4%3Recorded
DESPIERTA ORELLANA22005ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201423,67521.7%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"4ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20147,9017.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144,6744.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1177,435
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 645,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 22,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 77435,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-C-22-645",
  "name": "FCO.DE ORELLANA / ORELLANA",
  "office": "Municipal council",
  "precinct_rows": [
    4097,
    4099,
    4106,
    4109,
    4110,
    4111,
    4112,
    4113,
    4114,
    4115,
    4116,
    4117,
    4118,
    4119,
    4120,
    4142,
    4143,
    4144,
    4145,
    4146,
    4147,
    4148,
    4149,
    4150,
    4151,
    4152,
    4153,
    4160,
    4161,
    4163,
    4164,
    4165,
    4166,
    4170,
    4171,
    4172,
    4173,
    4174,
    4175,
    4188
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “FCO.DE ORELLANA / ORELLANA — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-C-22-645. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.