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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

SANTA CRUZ / GALÁPAGOS — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · SANTA CRUZ / GALÁPAGOS / GALÁPAGOS · municipal · Municipal councilEC-C-20-805

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SANTA CRUZ / GALÁPAGOS / GALÁPAGOS
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-e5d7311b7d7b6c9ce501a4d2
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO25.1%
  • POR MI SANTA CRUZ20.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK17.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO16.8%
  • UNIDAD 202315.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA3.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO CONSTRUYE1.4%
Results for event-8d0c4e6e8a45b98288415ddc
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO34ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,25825.1%1Recorded
POR MI SANTA CRUZ1155ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,79620%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,59917.8%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO124ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,50916.8%1Recorded
UNIDAD 20231142ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,38715.4%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233143.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CONSTRUYE18ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231231.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO X MI SANTA CRUZ17.5%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO15.6%
  • ALIANZA UNIDOS POR TI12.8%
  • UNION ECUATORIANA9.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES9.2%
  • CENTRO DEMOCRATICO8.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK7.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA7.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE IDENTIDAD PROVINCIAL, MIP6.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ3.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO1.0%
Results for event-3173d73ea44dd352f6747b29
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO X MI SANTA CRUZ133ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,38317.5%2Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO3ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,91915.6%1Recorded
ALIANZA UNIDOS POR TI661ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,22512.8%1Recorded
UNION ECUATORIANA51ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,3929.5%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES22ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,3139.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CENTRO DEMOCRATICO145ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,0698.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK12ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,9737.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA13ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,8607.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE IDENTIDAD PROVINCIAL, MIP7ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,7426.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ198ecuador/Sed7b513864/20199803.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO219ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192571%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO DE IDENTIDAD PROVINCIAL43.5%
  • POR SANTA CRUZ20.5%
  • UNIDAD INSULAR19.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO ARCHIPIELAGO ḂSI!10.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO REENCUENTRO YA6.7%
Results for event-0a2118cd15a4848e8607422b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO DE IDENTIDAD PROVINCIAL20003ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201411,02543.5%2Recorded
POR SANTA CRUZ20007ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20145,18620.5%2Recorded
UNIDAD INSULAR20006ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144,85819.2%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ARCHIPIELAGO ḂSI!20002ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,55510.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO REENCUENTRO YA20001ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,7066.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1113,398
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 805,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 20,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 13398,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-C-20-805",
  "name": "SANTA CRUZ / GALÁPAGOS",
  "office": "Municipal council",
  "precinct_rows": [
    3959,
    3960,
    3961,
    3962,
    3963,
    3964,
    3965,
    3966,
    3970
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “SANTA CRUZ / GALÁPAGOS — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-C-20-805. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.