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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

CHILLANES / BOLÍVAR — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · CHILLANES / BOLÍVAR / BOLÍVAR · municipal · Municipal councilEC-C-2-180

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
CHILLANES / BOLÍVAR / BOLÍVAR
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-5b81d9812fa689a7d237825b
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA JUNTOS POR BOLIVAR27.8%
  • ALIANZA CHILLANES RENOVACION TOTAL16.5%
  • PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA14.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK14.2%
  • ALIANZA ENCONTREMONOS POR BOLIVAR8.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO7.1%
  • CONSTRUYENDO ESPERANZA EN BOLÍVAR5.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA2.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO AGRARIO CHILLANENSE, MACH1.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACIÓN NUEVA GENTE EN ACCIÓN, MINGA1.0%
Results for event-a6ed81a0262072d8f52496ff
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA JUNTOS POR BOLIVAR1125ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,13427.8%1Recorded
ALIANZA CHILLANES RENOVACION TOTAL1126ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,86216.5%2Recorded
PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,66214.8%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,60014.2%1Recorded
ALIANZA ENCONTREMONOS POR BOLIVAR1084ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20239948.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO124ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20238037.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONSTRUYENDO ESPERANZA EN BOLÍVAR1141ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20236425.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232312.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO AGRARIO CHILLANENSE, MACH152ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232181.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACIÓN NUEVA GENTE EN ACCIÓN, MINGA227ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231111%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • TIEMPO DE CONSTRUIR24.1%
  • POR NUESTRA GENTE POR NUESTRO PUEBLO21.0%
  • ALIANZA POR LA INTEGRACIÓN BOLIVARENSE20.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ15.8%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO12.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP3.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO AGRARIO CHILLANENSE, MACH3.1%
Results for event-dd6850305d7f53134b36a759
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
TIEMPO DE CONSTRUIR548ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195,88924.1%1Recorded
POR NUESTRA GENTE POR NUESTRO PUEBLO587ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195,13421%1Recorded
ALIANZA POR LA INTEGRACIÓN BOLIVARENSE501ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,94620.3%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ198ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,85015.8%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO3ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,05712.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP235ecuador/Sed7b513864/20197863.2%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO AGRARIO CHILLANENSE, MACH178ecuador/Sed7b513864/20197523.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PARTIDO AVANZA34.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO SUMA26.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS18.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO10.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK5.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACIÓN OBRAS SON AMORES2.8%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO1.9%
Results for event-96609ae591474779e78a47e9
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20148,27934%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUMA13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20146,54226.9%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144,59418.9%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,51810.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK5ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,2605.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACIÓN OBRAS SON AMORES2002ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20146762.8%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO11ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144601.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1117,028
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 180,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 2,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 17028,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-C-2-180",
  "name": "CHILLANES / BOLÍVAR",
  "office": "Municipal council",
  "precinct_rows": [
    282,
    284,
    290,
    292,
    293,
    295,
    296,
    310,
    311,
    314,
    345,
    347,
    348,
    367
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “CHILLANES / BOLÍVAR — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-C-2-180. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.