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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

CHIMBO / BOLÍVAR — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · CHIMBO / BOLÍVAR / BOLÍVAR · municipal · Municipal councilEC-C-2-170

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
CHIMBO / BOLÍVAR / BOLÍVAR
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-72d726ce5cb9779ae63b8698
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACIÓN NUEVA GENTE EN ACCIÓN, MINGA17.2%
  • ALIANZA JUNTOS POR BOLIVAR16.3%
  • CHIMBO PIENSA EN GRANDE15.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK12.4%
  • ALIANZA ENCONTREMONOS POR BOLIVAR11.6%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO11.2%
  • CONSTRUYENDO ESPERANZA EN BOLÍVAR8.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA SOCIAL MAS4.4%
  • UNIDOS POR UN CAMBIO EN CHIMBO2.2%
Results for event-5c7bb5641bff6e34f67615f0
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACIÓN NUEVA GENTE EN ACCIÓN, MINGA227ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,58717.2%1Recorded
ALIANZA JUNTOS POR BOLIVAR1125ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,49916.3%1Recorded
CHIMBO PIENSA EN GRANDE1127ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,46915.9%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,14712.4%1Recorded
ALIANZA ENCONTREMONOS POR BOLIVAR1084ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,07211.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO34ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,03411.2%1Recorded
CONSTRUYENDO ESPERANZA EN BOLÍVAR1141ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20237958.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA SOCIAL MAS173ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20234054.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDOS POR UN CAMBIO EN CHIMBO1476ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232072.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • TIEMPO DE CONSTRUIR23.8%
  • NUEVA GENERACION PSP 3 Y MINGA 7719.8%
  • CENTRO DEMOCRATICO15.6%
  • ALIANZA POR LA INTEGRACIÓN BOLIVARENSE13.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ11.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA9.6%
  • IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA6.2%
Results for event-4ee22e84a303a89b8385edb5
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
TIEMPO DE CONSTRUIR548ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,48323.8%2Recorded
NUEVA GENERACION PSP 3 Y MINGA 77550ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,74019.8%1Recorded
CENTRO DEMOCRATICO145ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,95015.6%1Recorded
ALIANZA POR LA INTEGRACIÓN BOLIVARENSE501ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,56413.6%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ198ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,15011.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA13ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,8189.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA152ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,1626.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PARTIDO AVANZA28.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO SUMA22.6%
  • ALIANZA CHIMBEÑA21.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO11.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACIÓN OBRAS SON AMORES10.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK5.8%
Results for event-f5508fffc34cb2657a6af32f
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144,51628.2%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUMA13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,61522.6%1Recorded
ALIANZA CHIMBEÑA2005ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,48121.8%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,83111.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACIÓN OBRAS SON AMORES2002ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,62810.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK5ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20149215.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1113,652
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 170,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 2,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 13652,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-C-2-170",
  "name": "CHIMBO / BOLÍVAR",
  "office": "Municipal council",
  "precinct_rows": [
    328,
    329,
    330,
    331,
    332,
    333,
    343,
    354
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “CHIMBO / BOLÍVAR — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-C-2-170. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.