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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

PATATE / TUNGURAHUA — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · PATATE / TUNGURAHUA / TUNGURAHUA · municipal · Municipal councilEC-C-18-155

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
PATATE / TUNGURAHUA / TUNGURAHUA
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-be9079f1d177c49e483a87fb
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • OPORTUNIDADES23.9%
  • INTEGRACION CIVICA TUNGURAHUA21.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK16.1%
  • PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA13.8%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA12.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO SOLIDARIAMENTE12.1%
Results for event-20e640ab870ed004f41132cc
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
OPORTUNIDADES1175ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,06023.9%1Recorded
INTEGRACION CIVICA TUNGURAHUA1416ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,86721.7%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,38816.1%1Recorded
PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,19313.8%1Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA101ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,06112.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO SOLIDARIAMENTE160ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,04612.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA17.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK14.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO TU, TUNGURAHUA UNIDO13.7%
  • MAS PROYECTO CIUDADANO12.6%
  • CREO POR AMBATO Y TUNGURAHUA10.8%
  • UNIDOS PODEMOS9.3%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO9.1%
  • FUERZA SOCIAL Y SOLIDARIA8.4%
  • PSC-TIEMPO DE CAMBIO4.8%
Results for event-6037805ab483f040b5ff79cc
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA25ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,45317.1%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK12ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,87414.2%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO TU, TUNGURAHUA UNIDO253ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,77513.7%1Recorded
MAS PROYECTO CIUDADANO561ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,54412.6%1Recorded
CREO POR AMBATO Y TUNGURAHUA603ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,19210.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDOS PODEMOS598ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,8739.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO8ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,8499.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FUERZA SOCIAL Y SOLIDARIA602ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,7108.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PSC-TIEMPO DE CAMBIO599ecuador/Sed7b513864/20199774.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS24.8%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO20.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK16.7%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA11.9%
  • CREO-PSP-PRIAN9.6%
  • 23-62-15 COMANDO CIUDADANO JUAN MONTALVO9.1%
  • PSC-TIEMPO DE CAMBIO7.2%
Results for event-1411097b430cf16063702f3d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144,40424.8%2Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,66720.6%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK5ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,96316.7%2Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,11111.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CREO-PSP-PRIAN18005ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,7099.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
23-62-15 COMANDO CIUDADANO JUAN MONTALVO18007ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,6249.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PSC-TIEMPO DE CAMBIO18006ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,2857.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1112,003
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 155,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 18,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 12003,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-C-18-155",
  "name": "PATATE / TUNGURAHUA",
  "office": "Municipal council",
  "precinct_rows": [
    3706,
    3707,
    3708,
    3709,
    3825
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “PATATE / TUNGURAHUA — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-C-18-155. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.