Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

AMBATO / TUNGURAHUA — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · AMBATO / TUNGURAHUA / TUNGURAHUA · municipal · Municipal councilEC-C-18-135

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
AMBATO / TUNGURAHUA / TUNGURAHUA
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-6c64ff2ea41c3f115f54c9b4
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK25.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO RENOVACIÓN TOTAL, RETO19.7%
  • OPORTUNIDADES11.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO SOLIDARIAMENTE9.6%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA9.0%
  • PSC-TC, LISTA 6-617.8%
  • INTEGRACION CIVICA TUNGURAHUA7.3%
  • PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA5.1%
  • SOMOS AGUA TUNGURAHUA3.1%
  • CLICC CONEXIÓN CIUDADANA2.5%
Results for event-4d7312110fcb9e1b6f0e1cb4
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202345,18925%4Recorded
MOVIMIENTO RENOVACIÓN TOTAL, RETO226ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202335,67319.7%3Recorded
OPORTUNIDADES1175ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202320,08711.1%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO SOLIDARIAMENTE160ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202317,2959.6%1Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA101ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202316,2119%1Recorded
PSC-TC, LISTA 6-611106ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202314,0867.8%2Recorded
INTEGRACION CIVICA TUNGURAHUA1416ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202313,1927.3%1Recorded
PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20239,1745.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SOMOS AGUA TUNGURAHUA1358ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20235,5363.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CLICC CONEXIÓN CIUDADANA1246ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20234,5322.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • FUERZA SOCIAL Y SOLIDARIA18.4%
  • PSC-TIEMPO DE CAMBIO14.9%
  • PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA14.2%
  • MAS PROYECTO CIUDADANO8.2%
  • ALIANZA SOCIAL DE IZQUIERDA7.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO TU, TUNGURAHUA UNIDO6.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK6.2%
  • CREO POR AMBATO Y TUNGURAHUA5.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA4.2%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO3.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS2.9%
  • FUERZA.EC2.3%
  • UNIDAD POPULAR2.2%
  • PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE1.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP1.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL0.7%
Results for event-923699d07fa44f12b156f130
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
FUERZA SOCIAL Y SOLIDARIA602ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019178,44718.4%4Recorded
PSC-TIEMPO DE CAMBIO599ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019144,14114.9%3Recorded
PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA25ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019137,56714.2%3Recorded
MAS PROYECTO CIUDADANO561ecuador/Sed7b513864/201979,9068.2%1Recorded
ALIANZA SOCIAL DE IZQUIERDA600ecuador/Sed7b513864/201968,5087.1%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO TU, TUNGURAHUA UNIDO253ecuador/Sed7b513864/201960,0566.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK12ecuador/Sed7b513864/201959,7776.2%1Recorded
CREO POR AMBATO Y TUNGURAHUA603ecuador/Sed7b513864/201951,4045.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA37ecuador/Sed7b513864/201940,3224.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO3ecuador/Sed7b513864/201938,1943.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS142ecuador/Sed7b513864/201928,3352.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FUERZA.EC146ecuador/Sed7b513864/201922,5782.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDAD POPULAR143ecuador/Sed7b513864/201921,3562.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE158ecuador/Sed7b513864/201917,5431.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP235ecuador/Sed7b513864/201915,4371.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL170ecuador/Sed7b513864/20196,9090.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS36.1%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA19.8%
  • 23-62 COMANDO CIUDADANO JUAN MONTALVO14.0%
  • CREO-PSP-PRIAN10.6%
  • PSC-TIEMPO DE CAMBIO8.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK5.2%
  • PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO3.3%
  • PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO2.2%
Results for event-748224e9a757cb6cda4b4c87
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014359,83736.1%6Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014197,20319.8%3Recorded
23-62 COMANDO CIUDADANO JUAN MONTALVO18008ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014139,54614%2Recorded
CREO-PSP-PRIAN18005ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014105,80810.6%2Recorded
PSC-TIEMPO DE CAMBIO18006ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201487,6648.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK5ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201451,6785.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201433,2993.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO1ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201421,9352.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-11297,425
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 135,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 18,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 297425,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-C-18-135",
  "name": "AMBATO / TUNGURAHUA",
  "office": "Municipal council",
  "precinct_rows": [
    3671,
    3672,
    3679,
    3680,
    3682,
    3683,
    3685,
    3686,
    3687,
    3688,
    3720,
    3721,
    3722,
    3729,
    3730,
    3731,
    3732,
    3733,
    3734,
    3735,
    3736,
    3737,
    3738,
    3739,
    3740,
    3741,
    3742,
    3743,
    3744,
    3745,
    3746,
    3747,
    3748,
    3749,
    3750,
    3751,
    3752,
    3753,
    3754,
    3755,
    3756,
    3757,
    3758,
    3759,
    3760,
    3761,
    3762,
    3763,
    3764,
    3765,
    3766,
    3767,
    3768,
    3769,
    3770,
    3771,
    3772,
    3773,
    3774,
    3775,
    3776,
    3777,
    3778,
    3779,
    3780,
    3781,
    3782,
    3783,
    3784,
    3785,
    3786,
    3787,
    3788,
    3789,
    3790,
    3791,
    3792,
    3793,
    3794,
    3795,
    3796,
    3797,
    3798,
    3799,
    3800,
    3801,
    3802,
    3803,
    3804,
    3805,
    3806,
    3807,
    3808,
    3809,
    3810,
    3820,
    3821,
    3823,
    3824,
    3826,
    3827,
    3828,
    3829,
    3837,
    3838,
    3839,
    3840
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “AMBATO / TUNGURAHUA — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-C-18-135. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.