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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

SAN MIGUEL DE LOS BANCOS / PICHINCHA — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · SAN MIGUEL DE LOS BANCOS / PICHINCHA / PICHINCHA · municipal · Municipal councilEC-C-17-770

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SAN MIGUEL DE LOS BANCOS / PICHINCHA / PICHINCHA
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-74ac8933f75bd9b39c8a8b45
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PSC - SUMA - MCA30.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO TODOS14.4%
  • UNIDOS POR LA VIDA Y EL PROGRESO13.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA13.1%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA7.9%
  • PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA7.8%
  • VA POR TI7.4%
  • QUITO VUELVE5.2%
Results for event-7506a8e507f801a1df6fe883
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PSC - SUMA - MCA1274ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,55730.4%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO TODOS149ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,21114.4%1Recorded
UNIDOS POR LA VIDA Y EL PROGRESO1087ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,15613.8%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,09913.1%1Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA101ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20236667.9%1Recorded
PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20236547.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VA POR TI1418ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20236267.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
QUITO VUELVE1319ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20234385.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • ALIANZA CREO 21 - MCA 10629.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA18.5%
  • PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA17.4%
  • ALIANZA IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA-DEMOCRACIA SÍ- LOS BANCOS13.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION5.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS5.5%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO5.4%
  • PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE4.8%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO0.5%
Results for event-b89f4e337790f81951e25151
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA CREO 21 - MCA 106504ecuador/Sed7b513864/20196,80929.5%3Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA13ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,28618.5%1Recorded
PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA25ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,01617.4%1Recorded
ALIANZA IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA-DEMOCRACIA SÍ- LOS BANCOS662ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,00313%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION18ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,2685.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS142ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,2655.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO1ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,2445.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE158ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,1014.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO8ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191220.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS26.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE CIUDADANOS ACTIVOS25.8%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA21.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO13.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO SERVICIO CON EQUIDAD Y RESPONSABILIDAD12.8%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO0.2%
Results for event-e387c0f970bb0a68fada9f4b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20145,32826.3%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE CIUDADANOS ACTIVOS17007ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20145,21625.8%1Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144,29121.2%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,77013.7%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SERVICIO CON EQUIDAD Y RESPONSABILIDAD17010ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,58412.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014380.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1112,330
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 770,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 17,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 12330,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-C-17-770",
  "name": "SAN MIGUEL DE LOS BANCOS / PICHINCHA",
  "office": "Municipal council",
  "precinct_rows": [
    3357,
    3364,
    3428,
    3429,
    3430,
    3512,
    3521
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “SAN MIGUEL DE LOS BANCOS / PICHINCHA — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-C-17-770. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.