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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

SUCÚA / MORONA SANTIAGO — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · SUCÚA / MORONA SANTIAGO / MORONA SANTIAGO · municipal · Municipal councilEC-C-14-610

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SUCÚA / MORONA SANTIAGO / MORONA SANTIAGO
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-faa36c4379356b4f014e0cf3
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • HAGAMOS HISTORIA POR MORONA SANTIAGO32.4%
  • SOMOS UNIDAD POR MORONA SANTIAGO29.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO SOBERANO INTERCULTURAL INDEPENDIENTE14.9%
  • PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA14.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK8.3%
Results for event-b162915f06fa521b380de669
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
HAGAMOS HISTORIA POR MORONA SANTIAGO1252ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,58732.4%2Recorded
SOMOS UNIDAD POR MORONA SANTIAGO1243ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,30029.8%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SOBERANO INTERCULTURAL INDEPENDIENTE185ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,64314.9%1Recorded
PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,61714.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20239168.3%1Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES30.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK27.9%
  • ALIANZA UNIDAD PROVINCIAL POR EL CAMBIO PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO LISTA 6 Y MOVIMIENTO SUMA LISTA 2320.8%
  • ALIANZA PROGRESA MORONA SANTIAGO FUERZA AMAZÓNICA LISTA 62 Y ALIANZA PAIS LISTA 3513.8%
  • ALIANZA TODOS SOMOS MORONA SANTIAGO7.0%
Results for event-4c9d614593410cd3bd03fa37
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES22ecuador/Sed7b513864/20198,12830.4%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK12ecuador/Sed7b513864/20197,47227.9%2Recorded
ALIANZA UNIDAD PROVINCIAL POR EL CAMBIO PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO LISTA 6 Y MOVIMIENTO SUMA LISTA 23682ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195,56420.8%1Recorded
ALIANZA PROGRESA MORONA SANTIAGO FUERZA AMAZÓNICA LISTA 62 Y ALIANZA PAIS LISTA 35514ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,69213.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA TODOS SOMOS MORONA SANTIAGO751ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,8797%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • ALIANZA JUNTOS POR MORONA SANTIAGO40.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS38.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK21.4%
Results for event-1be5471a04be6ba7cf0bca65
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA JUNTOS POR MORONA SANTIAGO14004ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20149,73940.3%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20149,27038.3%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK5ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20145,17021.4%1Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1117,244
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 610,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 14,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 17244,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-C-14-610",
  "name": "SUCÚA / MORONA SANTIAGO",
  "office": "Municipal council",
  "precinct_rows": [
    2836,
    2857,
    2870,
    2887,
    2903,
    2904,
    2905,
    2906,
    2955,
    3012,
    3013,
    3014
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “SUCÚA / MORONA SANTIAGO — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-C-14-610. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.