Office briefing

EL CARMEN / MANABÍ — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · EL CARMEN / MANABÍ / MANABÍ · municipal · Municipal councilEC-C-13-500

Read the complete original research briefing

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography: EL CARMEN / MANABÍ / MANABÍ
Next election: 2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event: next-bc157c465299298c284ca25c
Registry qualification: Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

MANABITAMENTE31.2%
RC - SÍ PODEMOS, LISTAS 5-7227.6%
ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD MANABITA17.7%
PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA8.0%
1-336.6%
PUERTA DE ORO6.3%
MOVIMIENTO NUEVA GENERACIÓN2.6%

Results for event-886efe4121a61e9e74feb413
Label / candidate	Party code	Votes	Share	Seats	Status
MANABITAMENTE	1079ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	18,086	31.2%	3	Recorded
RC - SÍ PODEMOS, LISTAS 5-72	1378ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	15,986	27.6%	3	Recorded
ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD MANABITA	1041ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	10,260	17.7%	2	Recorded
PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA	117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	4,653	8%	1	Recorded
1-33	1387ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	3,849	6.6%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
PUERTA DE ORO	1037ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	3,637	6.3%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO NUEVA GENERACIÓN	270ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	1,493	2.6%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD MANABITA PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO LISTAS 6 - MOVIMIENTO UNIDAD PRIMERO LISTAS 6532.8%
ALIANZA CREO LISTA 21 - SI PODEMOS LISTA 7221.5%
ALIANZA OPORTUNIDAD Y CAMBIO - MOVIMIENTO MEJOR LISTAS 100 - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS LISTAS 35 - MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SI LISTAS 20 - MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO LISTAS 1 - PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANA LISTAS 1719.6%
MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL9.9%
UNIDAD POPULAR4.7%
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE3.8%
ALIANZA POR EL DESARROLLO DE MANABI - MOVIMIENTO AVANZA LISTAS 8 - PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRATICA LISTAS 12 - MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL LISTA 11 - MOVIMIENTO DE ACCION CIVICA DE HOMBRE Y MUJERES POR LA ETICA EL TRABAJO Y LA EQUIDAD MACHETE LISTAS 613.1%
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO2.4%
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK2.3%

Results for event-8cbac8b2a0a18e970526acf1
Label / candidate	Party code	Votes	Share	Seats	Status
ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD MANABITA PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO LISTAS 6 - MOVIMIENTO UNIDAD PRIMERO LISTAS 65	711ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	67,852	32.8%	4	Recorded
ALIANZA CREO LISTA 21 - SI PODEMOS LISTA 72	673ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	44,482	21.5%	3	Recorded
ALIANZA OPORTUNIDAD Y CAMBIO - MOVIMIENTO MEJOR LISTAS 100 - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS LISTAS 35 - MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SI LISTAS 20 - MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO LISTAS 1 - PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANA LISTAS 17	732ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	40,527	19.6%	2	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL	148ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	20,517	9.9%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
UNIDAD POPULAR	143ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	9,628	4.7%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE	158ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	7,928	3.8%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
ALIANZA POR EL DESARROLLO DE MANABI - MOVIMIENTO AVANZA LISTAS 8 - PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRATICA LISTAS 12 - MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL LISTA 11 - MOVIMIENTO DE ACCION CIVICA DE HOMBRE Y MUJERES POR LA ETICA EL TRABAJO Y LA EQUIDAD MACHETE LISTAS 61	803ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	6,513	3.1%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO	3ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	4,872	2.4%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK	12ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	4,723	2.3%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS36.0%
MOVIMIENTO UNIDAD PRIMERO24.7%
MOVIMIENTO DE ACCION CIVICA HUMANISTA POR LA ETICA EL TRABAJO I EQUIDAD9.1%
PARTIDO AVANZA8.5%
MOVIMIENTO CREO5.4%
MOVIMIENTO SUMA5.1%
ALIANZA CIVICA CIUDADANA4.9%
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO4.2%
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO2.0%

Results for event-e60179e0fbb261aed0bb951a
Label / candidate	Party code	Votes	Share	Seats	Status
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS	3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	71,185	36%	5	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO UNIDAD PRIMERO	13004ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	48,811	24.7%	2	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE ACCION CIVICA HUMANISTA POR LA ETICA EL TRABAJO I EQUIDAD	13002ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	18,025	9.1%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA	6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	16,884	8.5%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO	8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	10,687	5.4%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUMA	13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	10,084	5.1%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
ALIANZA CIVICA CIUDADANA	13010ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	9,652	4.9%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO	2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	8,356	4.2%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO	10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	3,864	2%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

As of

Electors

Notes

2026-08-11

102,779

Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.

{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 500,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 13,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 102779,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-C-13-500",
  "name": "EL CARMEN / MANABÍ",
  "office": "Municipal council",
  "precinct_rows": [
    2463,
    2519,
    2540,
    2618,
    2619,
    2623,
    2633,
    2634,
    2635,
    2636,
    2637,
    2706,
    2718,
    2719,
    2740,
    2741,
    2742,
    2743,
    2744,
    2745,
    2746,
    2747,
    2748,
    2749,
    2788,
    2789,
    2790,
    2791,
    2817
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

Sources

Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-electorales-2023/?wpdmdl=39834 · rights unknown
Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019/?wpdmdl=20971 · rights unknown
Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-a-nivel-parroquial-2014/?wpdmdl=21133 · rights unknown
Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/distributivos-de-electores-2027/ · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2023.zip · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2023.dat · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019.dat · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2019.dat · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2014.sav · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2014.dat · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE 2027 precinct and electorate distribution, cutoff 11 August 2026 · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-1-31-7-2026: ordinary election call for 29 November 2026 · rights unknown

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “EL CARMEN / MANABÍ — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-C-13-500. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.