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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

JARAMIJÓ / MANABÍ — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · JARAMIJÓ / MANABÍ / MANABÍ · municipal · Municipal councilEC-C-13-446

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
JARAMIJÓ / MANABÍ / MANABÍ
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-4089b8f85d3ad54a59c7849e
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA34.5%
  • 1-3325.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO CAMBIO Y PROGRESO12.7%
  • PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA11.3%
  • ALIANZA CONCEJALES JARAMIJENSES10.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK1.9%
  • LIDEREZA JUVENIL SIGLO XXI1.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO IGUALDAD DEMOCRACIA PID1.3%
  • MANABITAMENTE0.6%
Results for event-043e8652944e6b80edb9ba86
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20234,47234.5%2Recorded
1-331387ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,31125.5%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO CAMBIO Y PROGRESO77ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,64812.7%1Recorded
PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,46711.3%1Recorded
ALIANZA CONCEJALES JARAMIJENSES1436ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,40010.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232461.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
LIDEREZA JUVENIL SIGLO XXI1076ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231781.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO IGUALDAD DEMOCRACIA PID222ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231661.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MANABITAMENTE1079ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023790.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • ALIANZA OPORTUNIDAD Y CAMBIO EXCEPCION 17-2026.9%
  • ALIANZA CREO LISTA 21 - SI PODEMOS LISTA 7226.2%
  • ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD MANABITA PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO LISTAS 6 - MOVIMIENTO UNIDAD PRIMERO LISTAS 6515.1%
  • UNION ECUATORIANA12.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO NUEVA GENERACION8.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL3.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ2.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO2.4%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO1.2%
  • UNIDAD POPULAR1.1%
Results for event-c5b977414dfbe97ac65e8b4b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA OPORTUNIDAD Y CAMBIO EXCEPCION 17-20811ecuador/Sed7b513864/201911,38426.9%2Recorded
ALIANZA CREO LISTA 21 - SI PODEMOS LISTA 72673ecuador/Sed7b513864/201911,07326.2%2Recorded
ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD MANABITA PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO LISTAS 6 - MOVIMIENTO UNIDAD PRIMERO LISTAS 65711ecuador/Sed7b513864/20196,38915.1%1Recorded
UNION ECUATORIANA51ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195,37512.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO NUEVA GENERACION264ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,4388.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL170ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,4643.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ198ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,1602.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO219ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,0072.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO3ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195211.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDAD POPULAR143ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194711.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PAIS - UNIDAD PRIMERO 35-6522.8%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO20.7%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA19.2%
  • PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO18.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO SUMA12.1%
  • ALIANZA CIVICA CIUDADANA4.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO2.4%
Results for event-47715e67bb6660abe2dbe608
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PAIS - UNIDAD PRIMERO 35-6513011ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20148,65622.8%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20147,83820.7%1Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20147,28419.2%1Recorded
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20146,90918.2%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUMA13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144,57312.1%1Recorded
ALIANZA CIVICA CIUDADANA13010ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,7394.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20149052.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1119,177
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 446,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 13,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 19177,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-C-13-446",
  "name": "JARAMIJÓ / MANABÍ",
  "office": "Municipal council",
  "precinct_rows": [
    2564,
    2565,
    2566
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “JARAMIJÓ / MANABÍ — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-C-13-446. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.